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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Concordia Healthcare Corp. T.CXR.R

TSX:CXR.R - Post Discussion

Concordia Healthcare Corp. > They can,t guide down tomorrow
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Post by fdfd12 on Aug 11, 2016 4:27pm

They can,t guide down tomorrow

MT put out a release last week which said everything is going on schedule. Isn,t this confirmation that they will not guide lower?
Comment by wallop13 on Aug 11, 2016 4:33pm
Not really. The low GBP is a fact. If they hold guidance it means the business is doing really, really well to absorb that blow without a revision.
Comment by select1011 on Aug 11, 2016 4:45pm
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Comment by wallop13 on Aug 11, 2016 5:00pm
It's too early to tell if it's negative, a wash or a benefit. It depends on when exactly the GBP recovers and how much debt has been paid off at that time. It's quite a complicated issue and no one knows that answer without knowing the future GBP rate. 
Comment by select1011 on Aug 11, 2016 5:07pm
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Comment by Mulaman1 on Aug 11, 2016 5:08pm
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Comment by wallop13 on Aug 11, 2016 5:26pm
I expect them to lower EBITDA. But I also expect lower debt. CIBC is right to expect lower EBITDA guidance. I was talking about total financial impact. The GBP being down by 15% wipes 100M off of GBP debt. That also saves about 8M a year in interest. That's 116M over 2 years. It might not show as EBITDA, but none the less, it's a gain to CXR that affects debt to EBITDA. Right now, Debt to ...more  
Comment by select1011 on Aug 11, 2016 5:47pm
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Comment by Mulaman1 on Aug 11, 2016 5:52pm
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Comment by select1011 on Aug 11, 2016 6:00pm
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Comment by wallop13 on Aug 11, 2016 5:58pm
What? I think this is too deep for you. If we convert EBITDA to USD then we must also convert debt to USD. If we use GBP for EBITDA then we use GBP for debt.
Comment by Mulaman1 on Aug 11, 2016 5:59pm
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Comment by Mulaman1 on Aug 11, 2016 5:59pm
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Comment by CookieMonster on Aug 11, 2016 4:52pm
CXR is discounting a major guidance reduction.  
Comment by select1011 on Aug 11, 2016 4:37pm
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Comment by Craigbad on Aug 12, 2016 1:22pm
I have alot of respect for you Fdfd12, but i remember reading your post last night and it stuck in my head. I knew they had to guide down, but management mislead investors in PRINT that everything was as it should be when it was not. Who can trust them now!!!!! Investors who had faith in these guys have been shafted.
Comment by fdfd12 on Aug 12, 2016 1:45pm
100% agree with you
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