Post by
mouserman on Mar 17, 2023 10:06am
DGS premium should start to disappear.
ALL of the top 10 including BDIV are down today again, and DGS heading to sub 4$ level here in the next few sessions. Only a few holdings in green numbers , and they are NOT green by much
Comment by
Bagobags on Mar 17, 2023 10:40am
People are stubbornly holding on for that yield but realistically, even with a market rebound; this won't pay until June/July.
Comment by
mouserman on Mar 17, 2023 11:50am
JUne ,JULY / is probably optimistics. Inverted bond yields are a pretty reliable sign of an upcoming recession. It was time to get out of these split funds and into gold, /commodities etc.. Happy with my transition to WPM... and added some MMP.un today.
Comment by
Bagobags on Mar 17, 2023 1:37pm
Good call on WPM, that's exactly where I moved my DGS funds. Sold my WPM at $69 and am now holding cash...any thoughts on moving to bonds?
Comment by
Bagobags on Mar 17, 2023 1:39pm
Correction, sold at 60...bought in the high 40s and figured I'd secure the profit
Comment by
mouserman on Mar 18, 2023 8:34am
Low yielding bonds have never excited me, and when the yields increase it is because of the investors unloading them to try and save their portfolio. This particularly is the case when the FED jacks up interest rates with historical speed. And its amazing how the mortgage rates skyrocket, but savings accounts still get next nothing for interest.
Comment by
itsthehitman on Mar 19, 2023 1:36pm
And the big question is...if this situation persists....should we all set stop losses now and where to park all the cash until things hopefully turn around?
Comment by
flamingogold on Mar 19, 2023 4:05pm
That strategy usually does not pan out because there is a good chance of missing the best days. No one can time a market. Rebalancing is ok, but exiting to cash and waiting for "the bottom" is not. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/24/this-chart-shows-why-investors-should-never-try-to-time-the-stock-market.html
Comment by
Bagobags on Mar 20, 2023 10:51am
Greed > Fear on this one for now imo...people don't want to give up on 20% yield (even if yield is currently 0) and don't want to take loss by selling now
Comment by
Mmb060 on Mar 21, 2023 5:26am
I hope so. Ive shorted ( hedged via XIU) DGS under assumption that premium will soon reduce ( but will cover if premium down to 50c)
Comment by
navgod on Mar 21, 2023 6:29am
You are fortunate to be able to short DGS - have been trying establish a short for a month without success. Did manage a short on DFN off set with DF. GLTA