Post by
SONOFFERGUS on Jul 08, 2024 12:56pm
New long
Hi DRI people.
I haven't been following this stock but dipped my toe in on the selloff. I've had success buying the overreaction to accounting or executive shenanigans that I assume are unlikely to impair the business in the long run. IMHO a 25+% haircut is excessive.
Can anyone provide info on my assumption? Does the CEO matter much to this business? Is he a guy you would happily trade for a newer model?
I have done a little work on the financials and note lots of deferred compensation that I expect the CEO (and CFO, is he turns out to be part of the fraud) will end up forfeiting. So the fund is +$7.5mm-ish of reimbursed expenses, its prior-period earnings were understated by that amount, and perhaps a very large dilutive position may have gone poof. Obviously there is much grief ahead but perhaps the trust will end up in a better position.