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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Spectral Medical Inc T.EDT

Alternate Symbol(s):  EDTXF

Spectral Medical Inc. is a Canada-based late-stage theragnostic company advancing therapeutic options for sepsis and septic shock. The Company develops and commercializes a treatment for septic shock utilizing its Endotoxin Activity Assay (EAA) diagnostic and the Toraymyxin therapeutic (PMX). PMX is a therapeutic hemoperfusion device that removes endotoxin, which can cause sepsis, from the... see more

TSX:EDT - Post Discussion

Spectral Medical Inc > The facts...
View:
Post by mercedesman on Jul 27, 2021 2:48pm

The facts...

40M + shares = serious dilution for a stock that has 259M (fully diluted) outstanding, and less than 8 million shares about 20 years ago.

There is a President's List, which no one , on the Minority side seems to have seen

A million options here. a million warrants there, pretty soon you're talking about a serious reallocation of ownership by the time the end-game arrives.

The common rebuttal from "some mystery poster" on a public bulletin board (in all these dilutive financing situations) is always - just go ahead and buy cheap shares yourself on the open market (often apparently cheaper than the financing price).  But they never address the following arguments:
  • Warrants don't require cash outlays buying shares do.

  • Warrrants equal future ownership percentage transfer (to the warrant holder if exercised)   remember profits per share = total profits (static) divided by the total # of shares in the end (ever increasing)

  • Warrants,to the receipient are risk free (unlike for the minority shareholder who must buy shares to maintain their % ownership position)

  • Warrants are typically reserved for those "more in the know", further reducing the risk to the recipient. I don't buy the  EMH for one second.

  • The suggestion is that minority shareholders just open up their wallets and buy blindly (in the face of a finanicng below market and a falling price that often provides "cover" for the low price of the offering).  Try buying when the price is falling and you have no visibiilty, and very little faith in Mgt.(based on the directin of the sp) Very hard to do - no matter how much you believe in the product.
Insittutions and other large buyers often buy the units, and dispense with the shares, and keep the risk free warrants.  This adds further pressure to the SP as you add sellers. This sets certain peeps up for another cheap round of warrant acquisitions. etc.

Between takes, Mgt often grants themselves options, to counter the dilutive effects of the financings...also on a risk free- no capital outlay basis.

Such ongoing highly dilutive events cummulatively result in a massive end-gome reallocation of ownership...but only once the "true value" is apparent to all.

MM
Comment by BayStreetWild on Jul 27, 2021 3:26pm
I wonder how many people exercised those warrants that were expiring sold the shares over the last few months... sat on to the cash and when the financing was announced put the cash back in and got more shares and warrants? 
Comment by Accountprince on Jul 27, 2021 3:57pm
BSW you really wonder about some strange things.  But let's follow through your thoughts.  Most of the warrants are tightly held by insiders and participants in private placements.  Joe Q public has had virtually no ability to participate and thereby have options. But if it was Joe Q public with those cheap warrants and they exercised cheap and saw the price rise to low 50' ...more  
Comment by BayStreetWild on Jul 27, 2021 4:32pm
oh my.... surely you don't think they had advance warning to sell shares and rebuy them and add more warrants in private placement?   
Comment by Accountprince on Jul 27, 2021 4:57pm
Can't read BS W?  I only expanded on YOUR scenarios.  Followed through with logical extensions of the thesis YOU started.  I am not part of the inner sanctum so I can't provide any factual details about what they have been doing.  Many theories abound though... Why do you put forth hypothetical scenarios and then take logical answers and try to turn and twist them ...more  
Comment by PezDalatoYou on Jul 27, 2021 3:42pm
Of course, now that 20:1 consolidation is shareholder approved, why not vaporize the value of retail shareholder-owned shares through dilution?
Comment by mercedesman on Jul 27, 2021 4:01pm
Exactly...but wait for someone to tell you that the consolidation affects everyone equally. BSW said that institutions don't buy stocks unless they are >$ 1. Lately it's been nothing but institutions (see 2020 financing), and AGP the US placement Agent (via the Cdn bookrunner - the only analyst of record)  and insiders acquiring (at least partially on a risk free basis in the ...more  
Comment by BayStreetWild on Jul 27, 2021 4:38pm
imagine..... the next announcement was a share consolidation to ~13M shares. Hahahaha Icing on the cake. I imagine the chart here to start to look something like those of HUGE or even MJardin.  
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