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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Spectral Medical Inc T.EDT

Alternate Symbol(s):  EDTXF

Spectral Medical Inc. is a Canada-based late-stage theragnostic company advancing therapeutic options for sepsis and septic shock. The Company develops and commercializes a treatment for septic shock utilizing its Endotoxin Activity Assay (EAA) diagnostic and the Toraymyxin therapeutic (PMX). PMX is a therapeutic hemoperfusion device that removes endotoxin, which can cause sepsis, from the... see more

TSX:EDT - Post Discussion

Spectral Medical Inc > $ 25 to $ 30 million ?
View:
Post by mercedesman on Aug 16, 2021 11:35am

$ 25 to $ 30 million ?

Is the possible amount of cash on hand plus what may be coming in over the coming Qtrs.

$ 13M COH  (after the recent $ 10M raise)

Other possible sources:
  • $ 1.5M on over-alotment potential (that'll be interesting to watch)
  • $ 6M on exercise of about $ 12M new warrants  (at .50) assuming SP goes back up over $ .50
  • $ 6M+ from Baxter (2nd tranche, on Interim Data review).  Redacted but educated guess.
Assumes no new cash on Sales $ coming form SAMI, EAA, etc. (Aren't we hiring?)
Also assumes nothing from Baxter on the final Tranche. (another $ 6M CAD $)


Total of above $ 26.5M


In the First 1/2 of 2021 they burned through $ 4.2M in cash (from Operations, excluding the effect of the .45 warrant financing of $ 3.2). 

Lets say that increases to $5M/Half year (or $ 10M/year)

The math suggests, that if the extra $ come in (as above) that there would be a minimum of 5 "Half" years worth of cash ($ 25M/5). Or 2.5 years worth.   That would take us to Feb, 2024.

Also assumes no new cash on Sales $ coming form SAMI, EAA, etc. (Aren't we hiring a Mgt team & salespeople ?)


It would seem that Mr. See-to-it is hihgly risk averse, and doesn't like the idea of being caught with little to no cash. I would strongly suggest that he is now more than covered until we get well past the next two critical  FDA D-days (now forecasted by the Co. to be 2022).

MM
Comment by BayStreetWild on Aug 16, 2021 2:19pm
are you high on drugs or something?  at 33 cents I'd say the chances of the over allotment being used is 0-0.0001%.  the stock needs to go up almost 100% from here for the warrants to be exercised. Good luck with that happening in the near term.  baxter $6M. Where is this imaginary number coming from.  the only thing we are sure of is the burn rate.... which ...more  
Comment by mercedesman on Aug 16, 2021 4:49pm
I will indulge you one more time...and may again assuming a well reasoned response, but only  if the quality of your posts don't further regress or digress (to personal attacks on other posters) as they tended to do this afternoon. I've seen over-alotments taken many times regardless of price...b especially if that was the plan all along...and buyers really know what they are ...more  
Comment by BayStreetWild on Aug 16, 2021 5:27pm
 
Comment by BayStreetWild on Aug 16, 2021 5:33pm
  do you think other investors don't keep track? Why do you think the share price is where it is? 
Comment by mercedesman on Aug 16, 2021 10:41pm
"do you think other investors don't keep track? Why do you think the share price is where it is? -BSW Re: tracking: Of cousre they do.Although maybe not to the extent of white boards with strings connecting pictures of people and places...cuz that's just a bit creepy !  Re why SP is where it is.  Cuz it doesn't suit "them" to have it go up, until it ...more  
Comment by BayStreetWild on Aug 16, 2021 10:55pm
There are no strings connecting people. Simply milestones and dates when they're supposed to be hit. So you can track actionable events or do you just blindly throw money into things and hope there's an "endgame"?
Comment by mercedesman on Aug 17, 2021 8:07am
Most of my investments involve CO's that have demonstrated an ability to generate earnings & cash flow for the long term.  A few, like Spectral are attempts to find the elusive 10+ baggers. Blind investments? Hardly. But neither are they sure things.  You must know that Biotechs looking to make a discovery followed by an FDA approval are subject to uncertainty and setbacks ...more  
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