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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Spectral Medical Inc T.EDT

Alternate Symbol(s):  EDTXF

Spectral Medical Inc. is a Canada-based late-stage theragnostic company advancing therapeutic options for sepsis and septic shock. The Company develops and commercializes a treatment for septic shock utilizing its Endotoxin Activity Assay (EAA) diagnostic and the Toraymyxin therapeutic (PMX). PMX is a therapeutic hemoperfusion device that removes endotoxin, which can cause sepsis, from the... see more

TSX:EDT - Post Discussion

Spectral Medical Inc > Feeling a bit guilty....
View:
Post by mercedesman on Apr 27, 2023 1:57pm

Feeling a bit guilty....

...acquiring more in the mid to high 20's !

Especially given what insiders, Board members and the FA80 paid recently for their units (almost 20% discount after Black Scholes assignment of value of .06 to warrants).

And given:
  • Baxter ($ 25B Market Cap) signed a Distribution Agreement  with Spectral effectively giving them dibbs on PMX distribtuion in the US, complete with 3 payments to defray the costs of completing the Phase 3 Confirmatory Trial.
  • 2nd installment due after Interim Data release at patient 90 (roughly 35 to go) In addition to many millions towards trial costs, Baxter recently made a  quasi equity investment (convertable debt instrument)
  • Baxter recently announced a reorganization with KidneyCo. - a $ 5 Billion spinoff - which featured prominently the EAA and PMX products.
  • Revised estimates to Trial completion 18-24 months - factoring in new initiatives to speed up enrolment.
  • reiteration that Tigris results so far, continue to "exceed expectations"...which really means they are more than confirming the Euphrates subgroup.
  • Confirmatory Euphas 2 results (10 year long study on the Use of PMX to treat severe Sepsis patients in Europe).  Results similar to Tigris so far.
  • In 2022 Toraymyxin receives Breakthrough Device designation  (suggesting that the FDA is optimistic so far)
  • Recently John Kellum (KOL) announces his commitment to "see this through" to the end, as the culmination of his life's work in studying Sepsis, AKI and hemoperfusion.
  • Spectral's seemingly unlimited ability to raise cash when needed.  One more raise to go (given Baxter second and third installments)?
  • EBITDA analysis provided by Mgt. that suggests a major undervaluation by the market, or at the very least upon successful trial completion and approval by the FDA.
  • "addressable market" seems to be much larger than the EBITDA analysis assumes !
  • iDialco JV (side bet) needs to mature, but it is a "spun-off" investment that still has to be monetized.  Infomed to carry the majority of cash infusions from here, on the way to commercialization (less cash flow burn to SPectral in the next 1-2 years.
MM
Comment by hmmmmmmmm on Apr 27, 2023 5:27pm
Do you think this will age as well as your posts bragging about buying in the .50s, 40s, mid 30s, and low 30s ?
Comment by mercedesman on Apr 28, 2023 8:04am
I think these posts will age well when you look out about 3-6 months from now... as the market begins to anticipate Interim data... more Baxter $, and perhaps begins to factor in a noticeable enrolment uptick ( see JKs new initiatives)  Please allow me one correction to your post.  You should be able to find a post or two where I admitted to selling some of my trading position on the ...more  
Comment by oilandgasman on Apr 28, 2023 10:21am
I recall you bragging about buying in the mid 30's well done
Comment by mercedesman on Apr 28, 2023 3:07pm
You are correct O&G (for once) ! Began replenishing my trading postion in the .30's (using $ from sales in the .50's and .40's) Still accumulating, but in tiny increments. It's devilishly difficult to obtain large quantities too cheaply (except on final "scary" flush-outs - if "they" see the opportunity and seize it  - that's where stink bids come ...more  
Comment by mercedesman on Apr 28, 2023 3:43pm
As an example, I just bought some .27's. Very excited ! MM
Comment by mercedesman on Apr 28, 2023 3:48pm
And some .26's Hoping for some .24's
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