Spectral Medical Inc T.EDT

100% !?!? Oh my !!!

[mercedesman]

Did Paradigm just go from 75% to 100% Probability of Success ( I.e. assumption of FDA approval) in their latest analysis ?

A done deal?

finito?

fait accompli? 
 
 
Our $ 1.60 rNPV (was $ 1.70) assumes a 100% probability of success in the trial given…and results to date that are exceeding expectations.  Therefore, the $ .26 current share price suggests that the market is only giving the trial a 16% probability of success.  Published industry averages have the probability for a Phase 3 trial at ~63% , or $ 1.00/sh.  This increases to 77% for trials that use a biomarker for patient selection, or $ 1.23/sh.   Therefore, we believe that maket is excessively discounting the potential for success in this Phase 3b trial.


Just wait until this gets distributed to the thousands of Paradigm clients eager to participate in the next late Phase 3 Trial Biotech ! Not to mention thousands of potential US investors as well ! 
 

MM

[MMABStrader]

Mercedesman, can you give us some background info on Paridigm and your understanding of their relationship with Spectral and their potential impact on Spectral's share price. Where are they based? Who is the client base who they influence?

[Stocktree]

Complete BS. Unsubstianted pumping. We are years or yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeears away from the conclusion of this trial. No investment company can assume a trial, which has randomized a little over a third of its patient target will be successful. It it does, it is fraudulent. Spectral themselves would not dare to emit such nonesense. You are just attempting to Gorf out a few quick bucks out of your

[Accountprince]

Tree boy-did you read the Paradigm report? Or are you opposed to the idea of success? Guess you only want failure. Or else you'd accept the reality of what Paradigm has said. And many many people much smarter than you who are close to the reality. But keep your "sky is falling...sky is falling" garbage to yourself. In the name of decency.

[mercedesman]

Don't shoot the messenger tree-boy ( aka glass half empty, FUD- slinger )  BTW I find many of the assumptions made by Paradigm, in arriving at their target price,  to be quite conservative.  Maybe I will do a post to explain. MM 

[hmmmmmmmm]

Paradigm has pumped the same nonsense too many times.  That's why you saw a whole $2k traded on their sparkling analysis... Many remember when they pegged it at some 4 bucks by the End of Year.. Or the very similar pumps as today before the last two or 3 raises- they got well paid and the ones they got to buy in are taking write offs... Not to mention Seto worked there.. of and did

[mercedesman]

re: 2 k traded Ironically they point out ( quite correctly I might add),  that the market is greatly underappreciating Spectral's probability of success, and yet they themselves are supposed to be one of the main vehicles to getting the word out to the market.  At least they should be, if they are being used to help raise future funds.   Maybe the CRO isn't the only

[oilandgasman]

Scotty McShill ready to unload some stock.

[JohnnyCashMoney]

Scotty Mcshill? Is a liar?

[Accountprince]

MM is no liar and isn't unloading any stock. He will sell along with other real shareholders when it reaches true value.  Let me explain - there are nefarious types that bash relentlessly to scare anyone away and thereby assist in holding the price down. The BOD and management have done nothing to help the share price with little to no promotion. In fact they benefit greatly from the low

[Revten]

Hey MM & Accountprince, I could not Agree With You More! There is No Question as to the Successful Outcome!  Just taking longer than EXPECTED.....but the Tigress resulted keep coming out as ABOVE EXPECTATIONS! Exceeding EXPECTATIONS!  The Shareholders that continue to Hold and Buy ....the way I bought lots in the 20's in the last month....will be handsomely Paid

[SimonSaid]

Although your postion is very compelling, consideration must be given to the ability to raise enough money to get to the FDA approval.  Also, one can take the position that they will be able to continue to raise money, but at what cost?  Look no further than the Dialco divestiture...burn rate is aproximately $1M per month... I hope you (and others) are correct.

[mercedesman]

Of course !  Which is why I and others have been pounding the table on more US exposure  starting with OTC-QX and more. When the demand supply equation is broke, you must fix it.  One way means more dilution.  The other likely means way more dilution than is necessary. However, for a Phase 3b confirmatory trial that is exceeding all expectations, and where the need is great

[oilandgasman]

"Just taking longer than EXPECTED" just a decade longer, no big deal when your investing money.

[mercedesman]

Thx Rev !  youve got mail !