Comment by
Greenday on Jun 29, 2022 11:16am
Dumping until the end of the first half. jmo. 63% historical probability of a gain in July.
Comment by
199930 on Jun 29, 2022 12:08pm
But the long term average gain was only 3.4%.
Comment by
Greenday on Jun 29, 2022 12:58pm
@ 199930 - What kind of monthly return are you getting from your bank?
Comment by
199930 on Jun 29, 2022 1:13pm
Purchased an RBC 1 year GIC yesterday paying 3.687%, interest payable monthly - no risk.
Comment by
Greenday on Jun 29, 2022 2:28pm
@ 199930 - No risk on a 1 year GIC? Think again. There's plenty of risk. Inflation is running at about twice that right now. Unless the inflation rate falls below 3.687% over the next year you're going to be losing money.
Comment by
Uraniuman308 on Jun 29, 2022 2:38pm
how about the impact of inflation on development costs and the break even point for FCU?
Comment by
199930 on Jun 29, 2022 3:33pm
Ok low risk. Still better on a risk-adjusted basis. The monthy average rates you posted for FCU would generate an annual return of about 10% - well below a risk-adjusted required rate of return. I'm not a big fan of GIC's but we are living in uncertain times.
Comment by
Uraniuman308 on Jun 30, 2022 3:17pm
a Russian GIC or a uranium junior with an off take and 20% ownership with a Chinese company. Not sure which is worse. JMO
Comment by
Greenday on Jun 30, 2022 3:19pm
@ Uraniun308 - CGN owns shares in FCU. So what?
Comment by
Uraniuman308 on Jul 06, 2022 12:16pm
Your strategy is looking pretty good right now!
Comment by
199930 on Jul 06, 2022 2:53pm
I agree. The US might already be in a recession. Time will tell. [ quote=Uraniuman308] Your strategy is looking pretty good right now! [/quote]