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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Fairborne Energy Ltd T.FEL

TSX:FEL - Post Discussion

Fairborne Energy Ltd > NAT GAS IS SUMMER STORY NOW
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Post by valueplaysonly on Mar 19, 2012 8:09pm

NAT GAS IS SUMMER STORY NOW

NG   inventories are high because winter never  showed up.  China   and  Korea are looking at    NG  assets  now.  Buy low ,sell high  is the   only proven way to  make money and the  Chinese and   Koreans are adept contrarian  investors.

 

The last two  years  natural   gas  spot price peaked in the summer.  All  over Ontario  and   most of the   USA   March temps are being  smashed.  I  predict    people in central  Canada will be opening pools  in April.  The tornados  is  March and the early heat  showing up  about 6 weeks early  are leading me to  believe that   Ontario  and  the  northeastern  United  States  hot summer last  year is  going to  be the new normal.  I  am  looking for temperatures  to be smashed all over   central  Canada and the  USA.  By   late April   I  think we will  be getting the summer temps we had last year.       Air conditioning will  be going full tilt again this year over much of the  States and  Canada  .    I  see a big spike in   natural   gas due to   air conditioning demand.  I  see a  drought  for  grain  producers    this summer and food prices to soar as a a result of this.      FEL  is ripe to be bought out  and if some one   is going to  move they better move fast.  When we hit 100 degree temperatures    investors will see the savviness of  those  NG assets and  I  predict some take overs on  gas weighted  names before the summer heat wave is  in full  swing.  I  am  going to buy    breweries  and   may  short a  few  food companies on rising transportation   costs and   higher  soft commodity prices.     Fill up  your freezer  now on   frozen  veggies  . I expect to see sticker shock on grains and fruits and veggies this summer.

Comment by Curvature on Mar 27, 2012 11:55pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by bonjovi501 on Mar 29, 2012 12:24pm
Still a good stock and a takeover target soon I would think.
Comment by moric on Mar 29, 2012 12:58pm
Hey Curvature, Just to add in on this discussion a hot summer can be good for rough average of 1 bcf/d from april to november. With this said all of this extra consumption of natural gas happens in June July August.  Likewise I think it is also fair to mention that Coal displacement isn't just a thing in Canada. The united states estimates that as much as 3-4 bcf/d of coal demand could be ...more  
Comment by ecolo101 on Mar 29, 2012 6:54pm
Go with your feeling! this is the right approach as MBA does not seem to know where NG is going anyway... I added an extra 10k to my initial 5 k position ttoday. I will add more if necessary. There is timing for a good 50% over the next 6-7 months. If I am worng than I will wait longer. Winter will come and hopefully some guys will shutdown a few valves and cut on the riggs. One BTU worths ...more  
Comment by bonjovi501 on Mar 30, 2012 8:50pm
ecolo101......things will change and change fast and all of us who bought at these low prices will be smiling. The days of $13.00 gas is over but $6.00 to $7.00 will happen again. We just need the U.S. to change their laws to get NG into vehicles,semi's more abundantly. Sometimes things change on a dime and NG will be no different. Mark my words someday when it happens.
Comment by bonjovi501 on Apr 02, 2012 10:59am
Well we are at $2.17 today and falling and boy where is this baby going to stop?? It has to be a bottom soon you would think and I am glad that we are not falling further and a buyout hopefully will come soon. I know other NG stocks that tried to sell failed as the buyers do not want to pay top dollar and want everything for cheap. Maybe when one company sells it with start something but we have ...more  
Comment by bonjovi501 on Apr 04, 2012 1:45pm
Under $2.00 today and setting new 52 week lows daily. Natural Gas stocks are all taking a whooping and we still have a few months to go before the summer to help with prices. We need to sell this company I guess to get back some value. Where are we heading??
Comment by ecolo101 on Apr 05, 2012 4:55pm
I got in when it was going down by adding 5k at the time, I have now 25k at 2,20$. I will add more next week if we keep going down...Pendulum effect, it will come back north of 2,50$ by summer and later in the fall or early winter above 3$ and by that time we will know what the management and board want to do. Maybe another VRO and we will get a 0,30$ a share???? time will tell........ glta