Post by
StockGuru454 on May 17, 2024 7:20pm
Bottom this should have never passed 1.35
For anybody new it's quite simple in the lumber industry. You take the TTM which is .27.. times that by 5 and you get the rock bottom the company should have reached.
There's a reason inside buying was happening the last couple months at between .74 .77 pre earnings and such a large number of insider held shares. Essentially people whole actually work for the company know how to value lumber industry standards/ valuations and they Essentially see an oversold company that by industry standards should have never passed 1 35.
How we got here who knows, but stop panicking it's a stable company with 3x it's MC in assets and they're setting production records. One swift turn of lumber prices and you're in the green.
Comment by
Apaulson on May 18, 2024 6:18am
Except GFP will burn through all of its cash and have to start liquidating their mills before a recovery happens....but yea maybe someone will come along dumb enough to pay 3x its relative market cap for those mills as you say.
Comment by
Apaulson on May 18, 2024 7:30am
Ian Fillinger, of Interfor, already fell for that....I don't think someone else is going to be that stupid.