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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Greenfirst Forest Products Inc T.GFP

Alternate Symbol(s):  ICLTF

GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. is focused on sustainable forest management and lumber production. The Company’s business involves the manufacturing, selling, marketing and distributing lumber and paper products. The Company operates in two segments: Forest Products and Paper Products. Through its Forest Products segment, the Company manufactures and markets a wide range of spruce-pine-fir (SPF... see more

TSX:GFP - Post Discussion

Greenfirst Forest Products Inc > Bottom this should have never passed 1.35
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Post by StockGuru454 on May 17, 2024 7:20pm

Bottom this should have never passed 1.35

For anybody new it's quite simple in the lumber industry. You take the TTM which is .27.. times that by 5 and you get the rock bottom the company should have reached.

There's a reason inside buying was happening the last couple months at between .74  .77 pre earnings and such a large number of insider held shares. Essentially people whole actually work for the company know how to value lumber industry standards/ valuations and they Essentially see an oversold company that by industry standards should have never passed 1 35.

How we got here who knows, but stop panicking it's a stable company with 3x it's MC in assets and they're setting production records. One swift turn of lumber prices and you're in the green.
Comment by Apaulson on May 18, 2024 6:18am
Except GFP will burn through all of its cash and have to start liquidating their mills before a recovery happens....but yea maybe someone will come along dumb enough to pay 3x its relative market cap for those mills as you say.
Comment by Apaulson on May 18, 2024 7:30am
Ian Fillinger, of Interfor, already fell for that....I don't think someone else is going to be that stupid.
Comment by Apaulson on May 19, 2024 7:37am
Time is running out for GFP Strangely GFP didn’t post it’s 1Q-2024 financial statements on its website, but if you go to Sedar you can access them. In the 1Q-2024, GFP’s cash flow from operations was minus ($24,900,000). They had to borrow against their credit facilities to cover this loss. Q2 is shaping up to be a much worse quarter than Q1. Using the Madison Lumber Reporter’s Western SPF ...more  
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