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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum illumin Holdings Inc T.ILLM

Alternate Symbol(s):  ILLMF

illumin Holdings Inc. provides a journey advertising platform, which enables marketers to reach consumers at every stage of their journey by leveraging advanced machine learning algorithms and real-time data analytics. It enables advertisers to connect intelligently with audiences across online display, video, social and mobile campaigns. Its Programmatic Marketing Platform, powered by machine... see more

TSX:ILLM - Post Discussion

illumin Holdings Inc > Stocks are an inflation hedge
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Post by Torontojay on Feb 26, 2021 9:54am

Stocks are an inflation hedge

I was reading a good article on marketeatch and it had me thinking.

Many investors are worried about inflation but the reality is that stocks are an inflation hedge. When inflation rises so does a companies nominal earnings which expands the price to earnings ratio. However, it is offset by the increase in the cost of equity for those earnings. 

The real concern is the rise in the risk free 10 or 20 year treasury bonds. The 10 year risk free rate now stands at 1.54% as of Feb 25 compared to 0.54% on Mar 9th 2020.In the last day alone, the risk free rate jumped from 1.38% to 1.54%. It is not inflation that is the issue here but it is the increase in the risk free rate of stocks which increases the cost of equity. 

You might be asking why I'm talking about inflation on the Acuityads board but it's for this reason. Acuityads is not debt laced and so a rise in interest should have little impact on the cost of equity for those future earnings. We should all take the opportunity to invest more of our capital when the market shows weakness on low debt, strong capital allocators such as Acuityads. When Mr. market is pessimistic, we should take the opportunity to add to our position.

Comment by CHECKMATE77 on Feb 26, 2021 9:59am
Inflation = interest rate increase  look back to the 80's  No one invested in stocks when you could get over 10% a yr in a gic.  Many "investors" today are in the market only because a gic pays nothing. the vast majority of money in the market ( retail) is with an older crowd. Ie boomers . if said boomer could get a return on a gic that satisfies his/her cash ...more  
Comment by Torontojay on Feb 26, 2021 10:30am
Thats right. If you invested in a long term bond in 1981, you would trounce any future market returns from the S&P or any other index.  I personally think we will remain in a low interest rate environment for a very long time. I believe we are slowly getting back to pre-pandemic interest rates as the vaccine rollout begins. Remember that the stock market is always 3-6 months ahead so we ...more  
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