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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Loncor Gold Inc T.LN

Alternate Symbol(s):  LONCF

Loncor Gold Inc. is a Canadian gold exploration company. The Company is focused on projects within an approximately 480 square kilometers (km2) area on the Ngayu Greenstone Belt in the Northeast of The Democratic Republic of the Congo (the DRC). The area is located over 220 kilometers southwest of the Kibali gold mine, which is operated by Barrick Gold (Congo) SARL. It owns or controls a... see more

TSX:LN - Post Discussion

Loncor Gold Inc > Comparison of Adumbi and Corvus Gold ( KOR )
View:
Post by nozzpack on Jul 16, 2021 7:51am

Comparison of Adumbi and Corvus Gold ( KOR )

Notes

...All numbers in $USD

...AISC for Bullfrog for first 8 years only
...Aisc for Mothers for first 3 years only
...Assumed $900 AISC for LOM  for each deposit

...Adumbi production excludes Makapela 

...Kibali AISC and Recovery rates used  for Adumbi

..Multiply NPV5 for Adumbi by 85 % for Loncor share ( = $1.0 B)

....KOR offer is 65% of NPV

...Applied top Adumbi, net to Loncor would be $650 million US = $ 825 million in CAD

....Adumbi offer does not include the other advanced assets of Loncor

KOR offer probably will not be accepted by shareholders, as it is low balled






 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bullfrog

Motherlode

KOR Total

 

Adumbi (OP)

 

 

 

 

 

T.LN

POD ( USD )

$1500.00

$1500.00

$1500.00

 

$1500.00

LOM ( Yrs)

14

8

11

 

13

Grade

0.75

1.01

0.90

 

2.51

Capex ( M. C$) )

$30.00

$450.00

$480 m

 

$725.00

recovery %

75

85

80%

 

97.0

average Gold Production 

105,000

171,000

251,000

 

250,000

Gold Recovered

1.45

1.37

2.82

 

3.25

AISC ( $C)

$727.00

$677.00

$900.00

 

$700.00

Tax rate

30%

30%

30%

 

30%

Pretax Cash flow( C$ )

$0.88b

$0.82 b

$1.70 b

 

$2.60 b

Aftertax Cash flow ( C$)

$0.62

$0.57

$1.19 b

 

$1.82 b

Aftertax NPV5 ( C$)

$452 m

$303m

$775 m

 

$1.18 b

 

 

 

 

 

 

Comment by nozzpack on Jul 16, 2021 10:13am
Reviewing the KOR offer, it is perhaps a bit low but recognizes  the very low  grades....even down to 0.2 gms/ton,,, and short life  ( 8 years out of 14 and 3 years out of 8 ) of the most profitable grades. Adumbi grades are 2.5 times higher and in mining, grades are worth more than ounces. In that respect, Adumbi offers will be much closer to the NPV 5 than KOR..
Comment by Aberta1 on Jul 16, 2021 2:37pm
Thank you Veru much appreciated  I believe we will see in the second half of the year more M&A based on the assests in the ground. Example is AngloGold/Corvus -What did Barrick have at the end of Q1 like 6B in cash.  -Resolute maybe a take over target back door to LN assests -Resolute M&A ? 2021 focus on capitilizing on investments. -Performance bonuses start at $2 for LN ...more  
Comment by nozzpack on Jul 16, 2021 4:42pm
I do agree. Plus chances of a spin out of Makapela and other advanced tenements that have not been drilled in years but hold as much promise as Adumbi..
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