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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Verde Agritech Ltd T.NPK

Alternate Symbol(s):  VNPKF

Verde AgriTech Ltd is an agricultural technology company that produces potash fertilizers. The principal activity of the Company is the production and sale of a multi-nutrient potassium fertilizer marketed in Brazil under the brands K Forte and BAKS, Silicio Forte, and internationally as Super Greensand (the Product). K Forte is a potash fertilizer that is a source of potassium, silicon, and... see more

TSX:NPK - Post Discussion

Verde Agritech Ltd > Verde raises prices again
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Post by 15Stanmore on Aug 18, 2021 7:36am

Verde raises prices again

Hello fellow Verde shareholders,

Have a look at the Verde local web page for online ordering here

Products - Green Online (verde.ag)

T
here have just been across the board increases in the current price ranging from 5.7% on the basic KForte product up to almost 10% on the top end BAKS offerring.

These increases continue the upward trend we have seen from the beginning of the 2nd quarter, and most recently confirmed in the Q2 report which disclosed the average price per tonne sold in the 2nd quarter had hit $55.86 compared with $35.01 in Q2 2020. That is a 60% realized average price increase over 2020. Awesome!

With the further increases in spot pricing in the last 2 months, and recognizing that some customers will have sensibly locked in prices with confirmed orders before the recent increases, we can still expect to see a strong average realized selling price per tonne in Q3, and likely on a larger volume of product sold (remember Q3 is the highest sales month, and recent Q2 2021 sold 96,223 tonnes versus 71,183 in 2020 - a 35% growth in sales volume).

Q3 sales in 2020 were 105,769 at an average selling price of $37.40. While I do not think we will likely hit the current capacity limit of 150,000 tonnes per quarter, my model with a 30% growth to 137,500 tonnes and at an average realized selling price of $66.50 will deliver a Q3 sales figure equal to the entire sales for all of 2020 - around $9.2 million.

That would be a huge boost for the share price and would, in my opinion, lay the basis for a sustained run up to and above $2 per share by year end.

Don't you just love all the tailwinds filling the good ship Verde's sails?
Comment by ICT1111 on Aug 18, 2021 5:33pm
Underwhelmed by the volume sold, happy with the price but I would prefer the company to be taking market share and not constantly putting its price up. CV has argued that farmers are slow to change their practices; give them a price reason now to switch and they might not go back.  At first glance the Q2 numbers don't add up. 
Comment by 15Stanmore on Aug 18, 2021 8:38pm
Hello ICT1111, I heartily agree that at this early point in its development, teh Company would generate superior long term returns by maximizing the volume being consumed by end users, rather than pushing up the price. Q2 hit 96,223 tonnes sold, which is 53,777 tonnes under their current stated quarterly capacity. I would have been happier to see Q2 sales at 150,000 tonnes, and an average selling ...more  
Comment by Sugoioi on Aug 18, 2021 9:51pm
Out of curiousity why is this a price vs volume comparison? The feedback provided by farmers so far has been that price is not a barrier, at least for return purchases. I know we're all armchair quarter backing but what is our basis for feeling price is what's keeping volume down? We do know that farmers are slow to adopt change and new practices, and for good reason. Generally they put ...more  
Comment by PedroPistacio on Aug 19, 2021 4:03am
I too have been wondering how much/if any excess production has been retained from Q2 to be available to sell in Q3 in addition to the max 150,000 tonnes that can be produced within Q3. In theory I suppose there could be as much as 56,000 tonnes of supply left over from Q2 if Verde was maxing it's capacity, making a possible maximum sales total for Q3 of just over 200,000 tonnes. This would be ...more