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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Peyto Exploration & Development Corp T.PEY

Alternate Symbol(s):  PEYUF

Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. is a Canadian energy company involved in the development and production of natural gas, oil and natural gas liquids in Alberta's deep basin. The Alberta Deep Basin is a geologic setting situated on the northeastern front of the Rocky Mountain belt in the deepest part of the Alberta sedimentary basin. It acquired Repsol Canada Energy Partnership (Repsol... see more

TSX:PEY - Post Discussion

Peyto Exploration & Development Corp > The train kept a rollin’
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Post by SecondhandGnus on Sep 28, 2021 7:04pm

The train kept a rollin’

Despite the fact that Q3 will be Peyto's worst ever quarter WRT hedging (their fixed hedges are bigly bad), they have some real positives coming round the bend:
1. By now PEY's net debt ratio is <3x, below the level where extra interest penalties kick in;
2. PEY should end up CF-positive and profitable during a high reinvestment, poorly-hedged period;
3. There may not be a formal announcement re: dividend increases, but I'd expect Darren Gee to strongly hint that it could happen as soon as Q1 '22;
4. The 2 winter quarters will be monstrously profitable, with the trifecta of significantly increasing debt repayments, production and profitability;
Enjoy the ride, folks...
Comment by llerrad5 on Sep 28, 2021 7:33pm
I've also read where PEY is the lowest cost NG producer in Canada.
Comment by SecondhandGnus on Sep 29, 2021 10:35pm
PEY as lowest-cost producer has been their calling card, as mentioned in every shareholder update for ages.  Cash cost are creeping up (they've just raised their estimates from $1 to $1.20/mcfe), but PDP FD&A costs are trending way down.  I'm guessing that they beat their stated goal of 1$/mcfe this year.   2022 will be ridiculously profitable for Peyto and other gassy ...more  
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