Post by
TerribleEng on Aug 11, 2022 10:49am
Reason the market hates it
While everyone else in the sector will be cash flush and debt down to almost zero by year end... Peyto is vulnerable to a downturn. I think the odds of that happening are remote but if gas prices go back to $3 and oil to $70, then Peyto is back to being high debt to EBITDA and can't invest counter cyclical. They basically lost money on a lot of their production this quarter. $1.83 in cash costs plus $1.37 of DD&A selling for 300mmcf/day of gas for less than $2.50 isn't really compatible. I really wish they bought back all these bad hedges when the front end of the curve collapsed into during the Freeport explosion. When you compare stocks looking out at balance sheets to next summer Peyto really sticks out.