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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Quipt Home Medical Corp T.QIPT

Alternate Symbol(s):  QIPT

Quipt Home Medical Corp. is a home medical equipment provider. The Company specializes in improving the home management of chronic illness through the application of telehealth systems and automated distribution. It provides in-home monitoring and disease management services, including end-to-end respiratory solutions for patients in the United States. It offers nebulizers, oxygen concentrators... see more

TSX:QIPT - Post Discussion

Quipt Home Medical Corp > NEW SeekingAlpha Article QUIPT Warrants/shorting
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Post by besttobe on Jun 18, 2021 4:15am

NEW SeekingAlpha Article QUIPT Warrants/shorting

So Gibbons thought all this warrant/shorting I was refering to  was all nonsense- Not the brightest guy...What a moron. Here is the link

Quipt: Warrant Overhang Creates Attractive Prices (NASDAQ:QIPT) | Seeking Alpha


Warrant Overhang

On June 2, 2021, QIPT filed its March 31 quarterly report with the SEC. As of March 31, the number of warrants outstanding would result in an additional 2,491,106 shares being issued to shareholders on a stock that, until recently, was illiquid, often trading fewer than 100,000 shares per day between the US and Canada. The exercise price on the warrants, post-reverse-split, is CAD $6.40, or roughly $5.20/share USD.

So, these warrants have been in-the-money since November 2020, and were well in-the-money since about February 2021. The exercise and sale of the warrant shares has been weighing on the stock ever since, and has only intensified as we near the expiration date of June 29, 2021. Let me explain for those unfamiliar just how much of an overhang these warrants can create.

Much like a stock option, warrants give the holder the option to buy stock in QIPT at a specified price by a specified time. However, unlike an option, the warrant is essentially “free” to the original warrant holder. In the case of QIPT warrant holders, they received these warrants in exchange for purchasing common shares of QIPT stock during the company’s last capital raise. In this case, warrant holders can purchase shares of QIPT for $6.40 CAD. This creates a unique opportunity for the warrant holder. How?

 

If I hold a warrant to purchase a share, then I know I can buy the share at any time prior to June 29 for $6.40 CAD. Therefore, if the stock starts to trade at $10/share CAD, as it did earlier this year, I can short the stock at $10 (or any price above $6.40) with no risk. Why? Because I know I can buy the shares back to cover my short position at $6.40. Even if the stock goes up to $1,000/share, I can cover my short position at $6.40 instead of the current market price, making a profit between $6.40/share and the price at which I shorted.

So, at any price above $6.40/share CAD, a warrant holder can guarantee they make money on the warrant by shorting the stock. It is for this reason that warrants are so valuable. In having a warrant, you expose yourself to zero extra risk (beyond the risk of the original transaction) for possibly significant upside reward.

Based on multiple conversations with people familiar with QIPT, as well as people familiar with this warrant hedging process, I believe the current warrant overhang/hedging is weighing significantly on QIPT’s share price. This argument seems to be supported by the evidence, as well, since I noticed that IIROC’s short reports indicate increased shorting activity picking up drastically on QIPT over the past month. Yet, there are several changes the company has recently made that may also be weighing on shares, despite the fact that the company remains fundamentally stronger than ever and these changes are all beneficial for the business long term.

Comment by Trademark11 on Jun 18, 2021 6:44am
Thanks for the article B2b,  helpful.  Could you post the full article please
Comment by besttobe on Jun 18, 2021 7:11am
Here you go... Quipt: Warrant Overhang Creates Attractive Prices Jun. 18, 2021 2:08 AM ETQuipt Home Medical Corp. (QIPT)1 Comment1 Like Summary QIPT has in-the-money warrants expiring on June 29, after which the stock should be clear to run back to a level closer to fair value. In addition to the warrant overhang, QIPT recently changed names and ticker ...more  
Comment by Trademark11 on Jun 18, 2021 10:10am
Thanks again
Comment by besttobe on Jun 26, 2021 12:24pm
Smart money longs already took profits and/or bought back in at the right time. The Sitido conference will add new US shareholders, thus the recent stock S/P increase. There is no short squeeze, as warrant shorts can cover with their $6.40 warrant, without buying on the open market. (Read seekingalpha article below) Recent S/P increase is just new buyers, which is good for the stock. GLTA "I ...more  
Comment by gibbonsj on Jun 26, 2021 12:38pm
for once SA has got it right. They really blew their Q1 analysis and we're absent in Q2. There was short covering but not so much about warrants. It never made sense when you could just cover a position with your warrants which was a better cover than what sp ever got down to. For those who did not pick up on b2b's game it's probably crystal clear now.
Comment by besttobe on Jun 26, 2021 2:16pm
For those that are still having a hard time understanding why $6.40 warrant shorts "can't lose" and are never sqeezed. Here is a couple examples.... 1. Say they short @ $10. The stock goes down to $7.00. They "cover" on the "open market" for $7.00 and keep the warrant. They make $3.00.  2. Say they short at $7.00 and the stock goes to $10.00. They cover ...more  
Comment by gibbonsj on Jun 26, 2021 2:22pm
My point of few is the whole short matter is irrelevant yet it filled this BB to the extent nobody could start any other line of dialogue with out the board being bombarded with your short talk.
Comment by besttobe on Jun 26, 2021 3:03pm
Paying attention to short reports and warrants is important to this stock, regardless of what others think. It lets you know if you should take profits and maybe buy back later at a lower price and/or when to buy and /or to add to your position, They are very relevent to this stock given it's low volume and the risk to this stock or if warrants are added as a sweetner in the future. Just ...more  
Comment by lscfa on Jun 18, 2021 7:35am
Welcome to the NASDAQ....     2 weeks ending on TSXV Short trades/ Total Trades % Short volume/ Total  Volume % Short Value/ Total Value % QIPT Jun 15 4.9 9.0 9.1 QIPT  ...more  
Comment by besttobe on Jun 18, 2021 8:40am
Regardless of what Gibbons says, warrants and short reports effect on the S/P are relevant. For traders like myself, I play the rinse and repeat volitility it causes. I made alot of money trading this stock during this time.  Even for longs knowing what effects the S/P helps in judging when to buy and/or add to their position. So Gibbon's just ignored the significence of the warrants ...more  
Comment by besttobe on Jun 18, 2021 11:55am
So the new one year target price for the SeekingAlpha guy is $9.50. To think the longs did not take profits at $10.00 and ignoring  the warrants/shorters would bring it down to $6.40,  made no sense. Plus the buying they did, like Gibbons on the way down. All out of the money. It was all a no brainer.  I feel sorry for the guys that think Gibbon's is Warren Buffet. He led his ...more  
Comment by MrGaiiinz1986 on Jun 18, 2021 12:40pm
As per the seeking alpha article $9.50 is the fair valuation NOW.. not just the one year target B2B....sit back and try to grab some cheap shares while I'm also trying to do the same thing... Cheers.
Comment by besttobe on Jun 18, 2021 2:03pm
Market value now is 6.90. To reach $9.50, the stock needs to go up 40%. Anything beyond that would be a stretch.  Fair market value, is what someone is willing to pay. Not what some analyst thinks. 
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