Post by
pennylane101 on Aug 07, 2024 11:43am
Debentures...
Thoughts on what might happen with the current default on the debentures? Has the debenture trustee contacted anyone? This is my first foray into corporate convertible debentures and let me tell you, recent developments have been a shocker for me. Very unsettling. Not only are we missing out on interest payments but now the threat of CCAA, which could take a couple of years to resolve. What a roller coaster. Who needs this?
Comment by
Northforce13 on Aug 07, 2024 6:08pm
I just bought a bit more at 22 today. The outcome sure appears binary. Going to be a fun ride. I hope they dont go to zero, my TFSA is loaded up with these and losses dont increase contribution room :-(
Comment by
Tree2tree on Aug 08, 2024 8:23am
Thanks for all the comments. But where did you find the quote, "asset sales are happening at 30%-40% below book value" ?
Comment by
pennylane101 on Aug 08, 2024 8:36am
Tree, I highly doubt that North would be selling the farm and loading up on Slate debentures if he truly believed that. Does he believe it is a binary outcome? Nope. Unless he likes throwing money out the window.
Comment by
rad10 on Aug 08, 2024 10:46am
check the last conference call transcript. There's a little confusion as to what was said - but it wasn't great. One interpretation was a 30% discount to IFRS book value was optimistic, the other was 30% of IFRS book value...... have a listen then decide what Welch meant
Comment by
Tree2tree on Aug 08, 2024 12:14pm
Thanks. I didn't listen to the call, but what I read into the transcript is a 30% discount to book value. That would be a steep discount, but not fatal. I do prefer that they take time and wait for an acceptable price, rather than sell properties in a panic. That is assuming that the market wil gradually get better and not worse, with interest rates coming down.
Comment by
Ladislav3 on Aug 08, 2024 1:31pm
TNT completed some sales recently above IFRS value, so selling at 30% of IFRS sounds to me like insanity. The 30% discount to discount is a more reasonable interpretation, but at that valuation it does start to eat into the debentures before you get to liquidation costs.
Comment by
pennylane101 on Aug 08, 2024 9:33am
Yes, that scenario is ideal---provided they can avoid CCAA. The company just needs time. Interest rates are falling and fast! All directors should all be working towards the same goal which is survival of the company.