Post by
SPCEO1 on Dec 10, 2020 11:31am
Timing of trials
In the link below to an article that came out related to this week's press release, Paul said they are commmitted to getting two IND's filed by year-end and will start trials "as early as Q1". I am presuming he means the NASH phase III IND and one cancer IND but I suppose there is some tiny risk he is talking about two cancer IND's getting filed by the end of 2020.
Getting those trials started by the end of March 2021 now looks like the best case scenario with the most likely case being in the second quarter.
My best guess is they are hoping to get both the NASH phase III and the TNBC phase 1 started, present some compelling info at AACR on cancer in April and do a fund raising shortly thereafter as the share price reacts positively to all of that news. Ideally they would wait until they had phase I cancer results to raise money but they would likely have burned through much of what they currently have by then so the rsik of waiting that long would be too great.
https://themarketherald.ca/theratechnologies-announces-new-findings-for-its-lead-investigational-compound-th1902-for-the-treatment-of-several-additional-cancers-2020-12-09/
Comment by
SPCEO1 on Dec 10, 2020 12:16pm
I have an easy fix for that - TH should change its reporting to a calendar year end from November year end. For analysts, it makes life so much easier. Meanwhile, I think you can assume that he is using normal calendar terminolgy and not fiscal year terminology. But I could be wrong about that as they are not always consistent on that and it has caused me some confusion in the past too.
Comment by
palinc2000 on Dec 10, 2020 1:02pm
Q-1 has to mean THTX Q-1 Not calendar year Q-1
Comment by
SPCEO1 on Dec 10, 2020 1:26pm
I wish you were right but since that article came out after the end of the fiscal year, ,Paul must be referring to the calendar year end when he spoke about being committed to getting those protocols in by the end of the year. If not, he would have said that they successfuly achieved their objective already, right?