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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Theratechnologies Inc T.TH

Alternate Symbol(s):  THTX

Theratechnologies Inc. is a Canada-based clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on the development and commercialization of therapies addressing unmet medical needs. It markets prescription products for people with human immunodeficiency viruses (HIV) in the United States. The Company's research pipeline focuses on specialized therapies addressing unmet medical needs... see more

TSX:TH - Post Discussion

Theratechnologies Inc > New Filing today
View:
Post by palinc2000 on Nov 03, 2023 3:27pm

New Filing today

Has anyone read it
I dont have time this afernoon to go thru but since there were no PR I assume there are no major undisclosed info
https://www.theratech.com/node/14711/html
Comment by PWIB123 on Nov 05, 2023 10:03pm
I scanned it.  Looks like the totality of all changes over 5 separate amendments and what was presented before.  I'm assuming they know they aren't going to be able to meet the trailing 12 month EBITDA (LTM EBITDA) requirements and the associated higher cash balances without raising the additional capital.  Or, they truly did only raise the additional capital to save their ...more  
Comment by muslix1 on Nov 06, 2023 6:43am
Paul will Take a pay cut...25%...let's see
Comment by Kd5513 on Nov 06, 2023 7:17am
HA!, Thats a good one! I'll believe it when I see it, and in reality still overpaid by 750k of what he should be getting (~ 1 million) However this board has ensured they dont have to fear any retribution as they have diluted everone. The only one that could sway anything at this point is the Quebec fiirm or Soleus. That is the only option to get heads to roll at this point. Soleus is in it ...more  
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 06, 2023 8:01am
They did everything they said they would'nt do in our face.  What do you call that.
Comment by SPCEO1 on Nov 06, 2023 10:51am
Based on your experience with situations like this, do you think Marathon might take a different approach now that THTX has the cash to cover most of the loan? Would the incentive for Marathon be greater to take over the assets of THTX now on any additional breach?
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 06, 2023 11:07am
What are you saying here.  Should Thera breach their covenants again on some other parameter than the cash level, Thera would pay them off and get the balance somewhere else.
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 06, 2023 11:28am
Psycho trading on this thing.  Up 30 censt.. down some more.. freakshow.
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 06, 2023 11:44am
Got diagnosed with PTSD disorder thanks to this story.  Spend a few years in Vietnam or a few decades as Th shareholder and you end up the same.
Comment by SPCEO1 on Nov 06, 2023 3:20pm
What if TH-1902's results look good while THTX simultaneously violates the Adjsuted EBITDA covenant? Might Marathon want to take the assets in that situation? Can THTX prevent them from doing so? I am not sure but PWIB has some related experience and might know the answer to that. I imagine IQ would come to the rescue again if that happened with the additional needed money but I am not sure ...more  
Comment by Mannequin on Nov 06, 2023 3:34pm
considering this possibility, I would like to suggest that you send them a letter outlining the question and what the solution to this possibility is? We can't just leave it to somebody on the forum and you are the best person to ask this question and get clarification.  
Comment by JayjayUSA12007 on Nov 06, 2023 10:53pm
"I would like to suggest that you send them a letter outlining the question and what the solution to this possibility is? We can't just leave it to somebody on the forum and you are the best person to ask this question and get clarification." I agree. Having cash after this secondary would not satisfy the EBITDA requirement. They need to provide shareholders with an approach to ...more  
Comment by palinc2000 on Nov 07, 2023 7:38am
So you think that there is a chance that they would be already in default on an amendment signed on October 13 2023? Please stop this collective schizophrenia..    
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 07, 2023 8:22am
And they all bought at least some amount of shares in anticipation of breaching this latest amendement.
Comment by SPCEO1 on Nov 07, 2023 9:58am
If you read what was said you will see nothing like THTX already being in default was stated. But they have been a serial defaulter already so one should consider all possibilities even if they seem unlikely at the moment.
Comment by palinc2000 on Nov 07, 2023 10:20am
Ir was said that they altready know that they wont be able to meet the Adjusted Ebitda requirement and I am responding to that. As far as this could be a posdibility sometimes in the future .... of course it could     
Comment by SPCEO1 on Nov 07, 2023 11:29am
I did not read what he said that way. He was just pointing out that the new cash will not help them avoid potentially breaching the new covenants. I too am concerned about that. Not highly converned, but one has to consider every possibility with THTX unfortunately. I agree, as someone pointed out, that the head of sales insider purchases are encouraging that they will not likely breach that ...more  
Comment by palinc2000 on Nov 07, 2023 11:46am
Draining down inventories has no impact on Ebitda... It does reduce  the cash outlay but no impact on Ebitda  
Comment by Lee430 on Nov 07, 2023 1:22pm
Could the reason our CMO has not bought shares is that he is slow walking material info so that the rest of the insiders can purchase?
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 07, 2023 1:27pm
More conspiracy theory.  The question is why is he not buying.  I guess once those results come out we'll have the answer.  The sales guy is buying so at least that part of the equation looks encouraging..  Like others I'm not putting much faith in Th1902.  It's a long shot.
Comment by SPCEO1 on Nov 07, 2023 10:52am
As you might imagine the circumstances are really not conducive to a good conversation between THTX management and myself. I seem to have run out of "other cheeks" to turn towards them at this point (see Luke 6:29 - "If someone slaps you on one cheek, turn to them the other also). But I wish them the best and hope that, despite what they have done to legacy shareholders, that TH ...more  
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 07, 2023 11:06am
No ampathy, arrogant and unaccountable...  that's them.
Comment by Mannequin on Nov 07, 2023 11:29am
So does that mean that you do not believe that missing the EBITDA can create a situation where a marathon can come in and scoop the whole company?  
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 07, 2023 11:33am
I'm concerned by anyone else than me picking up the company may it be IQ, Soleus or Marathon... the result is the same, I'm out of luck.  The fact they bought some should be conforting because I don't see why they would that otherwise.
Comment by SPCEO1 on Nov 07, 2023 1:53pm
The chances of an adjusted EBITDA breech seem low, but if it did happen I suspect that would open the door for MArathon to come in and grab the assets. I am not sure what recourse THTX might have in such a situation. Previously, the best way for Marathon to get their cash back was to renegotiate the loan after a breech, earn some extra fees and then let THTX run its business to generate teh needed ...more  
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 07, 2023 2:02pm
Whre does IQ and Soleus fit in here.. do you think they would let this happen to them without liflting a ltlle finger.  IQ is the government of Quebec, not exactly limited in it's investment abilities.
Comment by Wino115 on Nov 07, 2023 2:32pm
Or, if they see they're getting close, various large mgmt salaries can be deferred or cut. They can control the quarterly EBITDA via expenses primarily. Sales are what they are.  I would guess some expenses they may want to characterize as one-off, non-operational and would be part of that "adjustment" to EBITDA. I would guess pay raises and bonuses are flat to down and there ...more  
Comment by THobsv on Nov 07, 2023 3:36pm
All of these comments are fair, they have lots of levers, they should hopefully have created reasonable adjusted EBITDA targets, etc. But we must remember this is a management team that raised equity at $1 to give them the cash they would have needed to satisfy the old cash requirements AFTER switching to an EBITDA target. They are not making smart or strategic decisions. We don't know what ...more  
Comment by palinc2000 on Nov 07, 2023 5:26pm
Going into debt in the first place was and is  the most stupidest move a small biotech can make!! The second stupidest move they made was to repay the first debt by debt under the pretense of 'non dilutive financing"" just to please large shareholders believing that the lottery ticket bought 4 years before would be a winning ticket.... Not only did it prove to be very dilutive ...more  
Comment by qwerty22 on Nov 08, 2023 9:42am
Problem is you can tell an equally sorry story on cash generation. For all the news Scarlett brings about Egrifta, some of it generated by the company, it doesn't look like they've convinced the clinical community that it's anything more than it was initially understood to be. The numbers on the drug suggest the drug profile hasn't changed all that much. So they bounce along with ...more  
Comment by palinc2000 on Nov 08, 2023 10:21am
Nice to see you back! I dont think your "Equally sorry story" on cash generation is fair...You dont flirt with bankrupcy when you generate cash with no debt! The damage to the Compagny resulting from the issuance of debt is near catastrophic... With regards to Nash one has to wonder what would have happened if funds had been allocated to something similar to a phase 2 b rather than ...more  
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 08, 2023 10:42am
They can blame all they want on the debenture dept and subsequent non delutive festive financing with Marathon that culminated in near death dilutive experience.  The fact remains they spent it on trials that both are worthless at the moment in Nash and Onco and hired and spent like there was no tomorrow.  They acted like goverments and entitled representatives of those with our money.
Comment by palinc2000 on Nov 08, 2023 10:51am
Which trial did they spend money on in Nash and what was the cost? I must have missed sonething!  
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 08, 2023 10:53am
Well ask them.. they spent it on something since it's MIA now... they tell you every quarter and every year but go figure where the money went exactly... we know where 2M wnt a least.. down the drain.
Comment by Wino115 on Nov 08, 2023 9:27pm
Agree with your point on Soleus. They were made aware and bought in. So they were at least consulted around the offer and we can only hope they are more forceful in either outcome with the clinical trial.  If it is a dud --keep cutting costs, building cash and use a modest dividend policy to start building back value for shareholders.  If successful, push them for the best route to ...more  
Comment by canadapiet on Nov 08, 2023 3:18am
"It is worth remembering that Marathon likely cares less about shareholders interests than the board of THTX does" Really????  You are becoming "the clown" of the message board man!  When did the board of TH take care of the shareholders?????? Like i (and many others) pointed out a long time before: THEY DON'T CARE ABOUT THE SHAREHOLDERS!!!!  Man, look ...more  
Comment by SPCEO1 on Nov 08, 2023 9:45am
God bless you as well! I think you misunderstood me and perhaps you have not been reading my other posts. If you are somehow under the impression that I think the THTX board served shareholder interests well, I am just not sure how you got there!
Comment by qwerty22 on Nov 08, 2023 9:47am
Who cares what the board "feels" They tried to deliver a cancer program with some value and mostly failed, it happens often. That killed the hope. Maybe they can pull something out of the ashes because there is a hint of drug activity, that's about it.  
Comment by palinc2000 on Nov 06, 2023 3:44pm
I just read for the first time the 5 th amendment!!! I dont quite see how you have determined that the LTM adjusted ebitda wont be met You surely dont have access to the amount of the numerous adjustments which in most cases increases the EBITDA .....ADJUSTED as defined is way above Ebitda under GAAP    
Comment by Trogarzon on Nov 06, 2023 4:01pm
I would hope that the sales VP expects to meet that minimum number having bought 50k shares last week.  
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