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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Tuscany International Drilling Inc T.TID

TSX:TID - Post Discussion

Tuscany International Drilling Inc > EBITDA in Q3 2013: Higher than $15 million
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Post by veronikagermany on Aug 10, 2013 10:58am

EBITDA in Q3 2013: Higher than $15 million

Dawson said that the strength in the business is returning, the  situation is improving every day and the improvement in Q2  versus Q1  was  very  clear.  Some folks were  disappointed  and  sold  yesterday  because   they   compared Q2  2013  with  Q2  2012.

He said  that  comparing  Q2  2013  to  Q2  2012  is  a  WRONG  comparison  because  Q2  2012  was  a  very  good  quarter  for  TID. The  investors  should  compare  Q2  2013  with  Q1  2013  to  see  the  big  improvement.
 
Moreover  according  to  the  CC:


1)   EBITDA:     I urge all to listen to the CC to confirm that EBITDA (and net income)  in Q2  2013  were  impacted  negatively by 3  ONE TIME  costs  that  total   $4,6   million.

2)  UT  will  be   ~75%  in  Q3   and substantially higher  than  75%   in  Q4.
 
3)  Big  CapEx  is behind us. CapEx  in  Q3 will drop down  to 5-7 million  from  11  million  in  Q2.
 
4) There are   NOT  ANY  RIGS  coming  OFF  CONTRACT  in  Q3,  Q4.

5)  G&A   expenses  will  drop  below   10   million  effective  Q3.
 
HOUSTON   will  close   and  the  tax  structure  of  the  PARIS  office (it  produces  the  African  costs) will  be  replaced  with  a  new  system  to  become  more  efficient. The  benefits  on  the  G&A  line   will  show  up  effective   Q3  2013.
 
6) From  HRT  case,  ONLY   10   million (mobilization  fees  from  the site  to  Manaus)  are  recorded  in  the  books. The   cancellation  fees (~20 million)  are  NOT  in  the  books,  so  it  will be   A  GIFT   for  the  balance  sheet   which  has  not  been  taken into  account.
7)  CEO/CFO  said:  TID  has the opportunity to take 6 different  initiatives to improve its debt structure. There is NO GUN on the head. The  payment  in  Q4  2013 is small.
The  45  million  payment  is  in   the  mid- 2014  but  they  can  get  an  extension, if  necessary.
 
8)   A/R  are  all  collectible. NO  PROBLEM  with  any  of  them.  CYA (Ecuador)  starts  its  payments  in  late  Q3   2013.
 
9)  They  have  demand  for   ADDITIONAL  RIGS   from  Colombia  and  Ecuador. However,  TID  prefer  to  not  expand  currently  but  live  within  its  means.
 
10)  BRAZIL:   1  rig  for  sure   and  probably   2  rigs  will  start  working  in  Q3   2013. 
Q3  2013  report  notes  that  there  is  1  rig   because  this   rig  has   a  LOI.
 
Moreover, the  HELI-RIGS   will  most  likely  work  in  Q4   2013.
 
Comment by veronikagermany on Aug 10, 2013 2:04pm
As a reminder to all, Check out  Q2  2012  when  TID  was  profitable. Back then  in  Q2 2012,  TID  had: EBITDA:    $17    million UT   RATE:   78%
Comment by D60510 on Aug 10, 2013 8:03pm
Until the debt situation is figured out this stock is going south.  Will be in single digits by Tuesday.  I wish I sold my shares last week but will have to cost average out of this one!!  I dont think that going back to how things looked  2012 is a way to feel comfortable with this stock.
Comment by rapid_fire_ on Aug 10, 2013 9:18pm
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Comment by rapid_fire_ on Aug 10, 2013 9:22pm
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Comment by veronikagermany on Aug 11, 2013 1:56am
CEO/CFO emphasized the fact that UT will rise  MATERIALLY  in  Q4. Since  UT  will be be around 75-76%  in Q3  2013  as  they  said,  UT   will be  around  85%  or  HIGHER  in  Q4   2013. rapid, they said that they are working with their advisors  and they are  WELL UNDERWAY (these  are  ...more  
Comment by rapid_fire_ on Aug 11, 2013 11:46am
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Comment by rapid_fire_ on Aug 11, 2013 5:47pm
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Comment by veronikagermany on Aug 13, 2013 8:44am
You are very correct rapid. The customers of TID have always been satisfied with TID's services. This has been overlooked but it must be pointed out. Regarding the  frequent  NR's, from your mouth to Walter's  ears....
Comment by rapid_fire_ on Aug 13, 2013 10:32am
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