Post by
fishmillion on Jan 29, 2021 12:43am
Capex
Hey Joe... sure its a bit fishy at 300 - 350 milll... here is my thinking... 2016 estimate .... 200 mill excluding financing cost, interest, and 1 yr sustaining capital.... so we know interest 7 % of 200 million for 2 years) is 28 million.... construction will be at the earliest 2022.... so an escalator of 1.5 ( min) is applicable from 2016 numbers .... this is consistent with other projects i have followed ...those in construction will confirm.... so.... 200 x 1.5 = 300 + 28 = 328.... the rest is the tko factor ....check my track record on my other forecasts ( minus the sarcasm).. but im usually at least in the ballpark
Comment by
Whvcgold on Jan 29, 2021 9:15am
They will raise 150m They have 80m by the end of 2020 Is this correct?
Comment by
fishmillion on Jan 29, 2021 10:25am
Hey joe... all good i just have a different perspective.... cost are quite abit higher than 2016....covid alone has added 15-20 points to costs for construction... im sure tko will have updated feasibility ect once ifc drawings are completed ( hopefully they are working on this.... they are probably ordering long term items as we speak....