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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Taseko Mines Ltd T.TKO

Alternate Symbol(s):  TGB

Taseko Mines Limited is a Canada-based copper focused mining company. The Company's principal assets are the 100% owned Gibraltar mine (Gibraltar), which is located in central British Columbia and is one of the largest copper mines in North America and the Florence Copper project, which is under construction. The Company also owns the Yellowhead copper, New Prosperity gold-copper, and Aley... see more

TSX:TKO - Post Discussion

Taseko Mines Ltd > Re X'5 Just When
View:
Post by copperminer on May 15, 2021 2:39pm

Re X'5 Just When

Hey Golden re the math. There are so many ways to value an operating miner, so for this example I valued Gibraltar from a 100% replacement cost, everything in, even the paper clips, at $2 Billion.Then divided the above worth by the approx 270,000,000. shares, and the result was $7.41. There's always some juice in these deals, so I rounded it out in total at $10.00

And then there's the Florence. With the Curis purchase of $80 Million, and costs to date on site, likely a total of $200 Million . Then add mine build costs of $230 Million, for a total of around $500 Million for an operating second mine.

Then there's the rest of the show

If you have concerns, take a look at when AngloAmerican sold their deposit. The sale price, and how many bids there were, and who the bidders were, stunned the mining world, absolutely stunned all watchers. There was a lesson there.

When we are ready, it will be no different here

Believe it!
Comment by Fishbillion on May 15, 2021 4:13pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by JoeStockIQ on May 15, 2021 4:28pm
Hey Fish, of course you're correct here. The share price valuations that some posters here come up with is often amusing, especially pertaining to their time frames. Let them enjoy their fantasies. That said, with a final Florence permit and copper prices staying over $4 US for some time to come, a $4 US share price for Taseko within one year from today remains quite viable. Not a bad return ...more  
Comment by JCSunsfan on May 15, 2021 5:50pm
Gib is only losing money on paper.  Keeps padding the bank account and buying mines.
Comment by JCSunsfan on May 16, 2021 5:54am
I am trying to find out information on this sale you are talking about but can't find it. Could you post a link? in the end, the only value that matters is what investors are willing to pay for shares.  Or if they start paying dividends at some point.  That's why they have to start posting green pennies on earnings reports.  They bank their cash but that is not enough.
Comment by JCSunsfan on May 16, 2021 6:25am
Ok.  I guess you are talking about the sale of 30% of the Montoverde mine to Mitsubishi.  Sold for $300 million a year ago but the price could go up to $500 million if certain conditions are met.  Let's assume a $500 million price.   The mine has roughly twice the reserves that Gibraltar has.  There are so many more factors that go into valuation, c1 costs ...more  
Comment by JCSunsfan on May 16, 2021 6:32am
So based roughly on that sale price, Gib should be worth about $3 a share and Florence the same.  The other holdings are just extra.  I am sure I am missing something.     So would you all be happy if they sold off 30% of Florence  for $250 million?
Comment by nofluff on May 16, 2021 9:03am
250 million u.s. puts over a dollar a share in bank account. Gives us a valid watch dog on management and ups flor value to 3.00 a cad share for remaining 70 percent. So a 4.00 immediate increase on sp I take today. Was that mine developed or just a deposit? nf
Comment by JCSunsfan on May 16, 2021 3:51pm
Looks like it was a developed mine.  There were two mines actually.  Ah.  Might have to go back and rework my numbers.  
Comment by nofluff on May 16, 2021 3:53pm
Just remember. That was in low copper price environment. nf
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