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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum TELESTA THERAPEUTICS INC T.TST

"Telesta Therapeutics Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. The Company is engaged in the research, development, manufacturing and commercialization of human health products and technologies."

TSX:TST - Post Discussion

TELESTA THERAPEUTICS INC > Adcomm green light odds
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Post by crocky on Nov 04, 2015 2:06pm

Adcomm green light odds

I've been sifting through the details for some time and became interested in the report by Ford on Seeking Alpha. While he does promote the 88% success rate of FDA approval following the adcomm recommendation, he doesn't address the odds of a green light from the adcomm meeting. What do you feel the odds are of adcomm approval based on the strength of the Phase III trial - part (a) - and the absence of a Phase III part (b) trial. Thanks.
Comment by PharmaGuy42 on Nov 04, 2015 2:18pm
Phase 3B are not, (and have never been) a prerequisite to getting a green light. 90% of cases are done with Phase 1, Phase 2A/2B. and Phase 3. In my experience, delays usually include repeated Phase 2 studies dealing with Lot consistency, comparator studies and non-inferiority. Also, oncology drugs, which are cytotoxic by nature are assessed differently than most small molecule drugs. This drug ...more  
Comment by crocky on Nov 04, 2015 2:27pm
Thanks PG. I think that Telesta managment felt the odds were pretty high as well. The guidance provided to them by the agencies does not appear to be misleading.
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