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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Vermilion Energy Inc T.VET

Alternate Symbol(s):  VET

Vermilion Energy Inc. is a Canada-based international energy producer. The Company seeks to create value through the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing assets in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its business model emphasizes free cash flow generation and returning capital to investors when economically warranted, augmented by value-adding acquisitions. The... see more

TSX:VET - Post Discussion

Vermilion Energy Inc > Vermilion Energy Lowers 2021 Exploration Budget To $300M
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Post by OILGENIE on Jan 19, 2021 10:49am

Vermilion Energy Lowers 2021 Exploration Budget To $300M

Canadian oil and gas producer Vermilion Energy has approved an exploration and development (E&D) capital budget of $300 million for 2021. The capital budget is 17% lower than in the year-ago period.

Vermilion Energy (VET) said that it aims to utilize the 2021 capital budget in maximizing returns, improving free cash flow, and facilitate debt reduction. The company said, “Our $300 million capital program is fully funded at a WTI [West Texas Intermediate] oil price of approximately $37/bbl [barrel of oil] on an unhedged basis, assuming all other commodity prices held at the January 13, 2021 commodity strip.”

The energy producer also expects its capital program to deliver annual average production of 83,000 to 85,000 boe/d [barrels of oil equivalent per day]. (See VET stock analysis on TipRanks)

On Jan. 15, Raymond James analyst Chris Cox upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold and also raised the price target to $6.27 (17.4% upside potential). The analyst cites significant improvement in the company’s outlook after revising commodity price assumptions.

Unlike Cox, the rest of the Street is sidelined on the stock with the analyst consensus of a Hold based on 6 Holds, 2 Buys and 1 Sell. The average analyst price target of $5.26 implies downside potential of about 1.5% to current levels. Shares have declined 65.8% in one year.

 
Comment by shakka on Jan 19, 2021 10:56am
Looks like market likes the budget and direction. Onwards and Upwards!
Comment by RevT79 on Jan 19, 2021 11:07am
Budget number is calculated with wti at 32$ wonder if they did that to keep avoiding bringing back dividends!
Comment by shakka on Jan 19, 2021 11:20am
Budget is set at $37 WTI. Its to set a floor for the capital program for this year. Also shows the upside potential in generating FCF above $37 WTI. I think the additional $50 million for the capital program in Q4 will happen if oil stays in the $50's range.  They also said that bringing back the divvy/share buy back doesnt require them to hit their Debt/CF of 1.5x. They want to see ...more  
Comment by Frost19 on Jan 19, 2021 11:58am
I'd much rather see mangement slay the debt beast first then mix between continued debt reduction,buybacks and div in 2022.  I want to see what the total debt is exiting 2020...hoping for ~2b or slightly under would be amazing. If they can exit 2021 with under 1.5 billion in debt its been a great year. If wti (and other other benchmark) prices hold or even go up some and they can exit ...more  
Comment by shakka on Jan 19, 2021 12:29pm
Couldnt agree more. 
Comment by BudFox198777777 on Jan 19, 2021 11:44am
Excess free cash flow net of reclamation and abandonment expenditures will be allocated to debt reduction as the Company remains committed to reducing its net debt (2) -to-fund flows from operations ("FFO") ratio to less than 1.5x over time. As our leverage profile improves, we will continue to review our long-term shareholder return policy to determine the appropriate time to ...more  
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