Post by
dalerules88 on Nov 09, 2018 10:27am
WTI and VII price action
looks like we have a trifecta of sorts possibly coming
- WTI down big overnight and now it's trying hard to double bottom on 1 minute chart and come back pretty hard
- friday morning gap down, plus here in Canada going into long weekend
- opec meeting coming up Sunday
this weekend will be do or die for oil and to large extent VII
I would think that with the gap down and the opec meeting coming up, we might start inching back up throughout the day (VII, as well as WTI), surely there must be some longs that can't help but start thinking what if OPEC comes out of the meeting with talk of cuts, which might put a floor under WTI
just a quick note on trading - my oils watchlist is getting pummeled today, BTE down 8%, POU down 14% at one point, but my gas list is doing much better, with two exceptions - TOU down 5%, as mentioned before, probably reverting back to the trend, after yesterday outlier up day, and ARX getting pummeled on what appear to be mediocre results; dry gassers doing better overall, of course, with US nat gas up another 5%. So I guess that explains VII being in the middle, down about 2.5% as I write. Our US gas exposure should help the cash flow, of course, being about 1/2 hedged. We'll lose money on paper on the hedges, but the other half of production should be printing cash by now, with AECO at 3 bucks CAD and US terminals at 3.60 USD range or higher
let's hope for WTI having bottommed and trending up into the weekend, kumbaya
IMO
Comment by
dalerules88 on Nov 09, 2018 10:42am
update - pretty big bounce on WTI now, thank goodness, I was starting to second guess myself.. now at 60.50 - bounced off the 59.27 day low pretty hard ... guessing longs are stepping in before the weekend, hedging for good news out of OPEC
Comment by
dalerules88 on Nov 09, 2018 11:00am
all WTI short term technicals pointing up - 1/5/15/30 minute charts all show buy signals - all aboard!
Comment by
TUMONE1 on Nov 09, 2018 2:41pm
WTI hit a 50% and bounced on a daily - needs to close above 60.55 to get upward momentum next week otherwise consolidation and may move lower.
Comment by
TUMONE1 on Nov 09, 2018 2:44pm
BTW - I don't look at 15min charts regularly- look at market depth/price action, weekly, monthly's and yearly's. I am more a position trader - And also factor in Fundamentals.
Comment by
TUMONE1 on Nov 09, 2018 2:49pm
Oh - and forgot for VII - 12.74 + would be good to stop the bleeding on the close.