Post by
retiredengexec on Feb 19, 2021 12:34pm
My Take Part2
I was going to extol the virtues of the deal until I looked at the reserve reports. VII 10.2 b and Arx 4.8 b. WTF? I know HP doesnt believe them but at a minimum they can keep q flat for twenty years. Even with 50 dollar wti the Npv 10 is 6 b or 18 bucks today. So the question is what in god's name caused CPPIB to hit Graham Norton red button? Something smells here.
Comment by
topdown99 on Feb 19, 2021 3:25pm
Hey retired , doesn't CPPIB only hold 16% ? I keep hearing this is a done deal , how much of the float has a free say in this vote ? Any ideas ?
Comment by
retiredengexec on Feb 19, 2021 3:41pm
T Rowe is a big holder. Let me look into it
Comment by
retiredengexec on Feb 19, 2021 3:47pm
Eyeballing the I holders shows about 55 percent private and 45 per cent float.
Comment by
Natgasgas on Feb 20, 2021 11:00am
This deal is about scaling up and high grading the talent from the VII team
Comment by
retiredengexec on Feb 20, 2021 1:37pm
NGG. Scaling up really, I mean really. 110 million of savings will only take 55 years to pay out the $5,500,000,00 in lost reserve value. On an npv 10 basis it will never be made up. The deal is beyond dumb its, I m looking for the right here. Ah yes insanely stupid.
Comment by
MyHoneyPot on Feb 19, 2021 3:51pm
I told you those reseve reports, do not carry a lot of weight. As in the case of this deal, they ignored the reserve report entirely? Or do you think they consider the Arx management worth a 5 billion dollar bump up in reserves value? Basiclly they getting equal value, and when i look on a cash generation basis it does not make sense to me at all. IMHO