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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Veren Inc T.VRN

Alternate Symbol(s):  VRN

Veren Inc. is a Canada-based oil producer with assets in central Alberta and southeast and southwest Saskatchewan. The principal activities of the Company are acquiring, developing and holding interests in petroleum and natural gas properties and assets related thereto through a general partnership and wholly owned subsidiaries. Its core operational areas include Kaybob Duvernay and Alberta... see more

TSX:VRN - Post Discussion

Veren Inc > Ninepoint's CPG Target Price Implied and Buyback Power
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Post by LiquidOctopusV2 on May 20, 2021 8:40am

Ninepoint's CPG Target Price Implied and Buyback Power

Eric Nuttall's Twitter estimates a 2.5x price multiple and an estimate of less than 5 years on the strenght of the company to repay debt and buyback shares (if they were going to buyback all shares).

We don't know the exact price that Eric is using to baseline the multiples but he has CPG at 2.5x.  If we use: 
CA$4.90 = $12.29 (@ today's price) 
CA$5.00 = $12.50
CA$5.50 = $13.75

There are other companies with more aggressive multiples but what if the oil price continues to fluctuate?  I'm pretty comfortable with hedging saftey and a 2.5x multiple price traget. 

The buyback potential is signficiant, that's the chart on the right.  This is where I think oil stocks will really shine in the coming years.  

And hello.  This doesn't look like the most welcoming board but I'm going to try to open a discussion anyway.   

https://twitter.com/ericnuttall/status/1394634738221072389/photo/1


Image
Comment by Bpultra on May 20, 2021 8:49am
Thanks for the info....all CPG needs to do is bring back the div...  ============
Comment by iownbmw545 on May 20, 2021 9:12am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Grandcentral on May 20, 2021 9:14am
I give it six month max until we are in a major rally. Seeing is believing, and the 'generalists' are still sitting on the sidelines. The rush will set in after a few quarters of outstanding results like we just had. The Dividend might take a while, but the company will be better off having reduced debt and or repurchasing shares before putting investors back on the gravy. More money can ...more  
Comment by Moemoney42 on May 20, 2021 9:46am
Liquid.. your thoughts and discussions are a very welcome addition to this BB.. beats the heck out of music videos and lame one liners.. with phoney thumbs up.. welcome aboard..!! 
Comment by highalpha1 on May 20, 2021 11:20am
Thanks for posting this LiquidoctopusV2, but I believe you may misunderstood what EN's first chart means.  The first chart indicates that CPG's enterprise value (current market cap plus their nebt debt) represents 2.5x their 2022 projected cash flow (at $70 WTI).  It is not a projected multiple on the company's share price.  So the companies listed on the left hand of ...more  
Comment by iownbmw545 on May 20, 2021 11:23am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Backinblack1000 on May 20, 2021 11:23am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by LiquidOctopusV2 on May 20, 2021 11:43am
Oh, you are totally correct.  Ah ... thanks.
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