TSX:WELL - Post Discussion
Post by
retiredcf on Nov 07, 2024 9:04am
TD
Have an $8.00 target. GLTA
Q3/F24: THE BEATS GO ON; STRONG ORGANIC GROWTH WITH IMPROVING MARGINS
THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
WELL continues to deliver superior execution, with its Q3 results maintaining its >5-year streak of beating consensus, and it raised F2024 revenue guidance again. Organic growth remains robust (23% y/y) and Adj. EBITDA margins (13.0%) continue to rebound. Wisp/ Circle are generating very strong and profitable organic growth, with their strategic reviews ongoing and representing key NT catalysts.
Event: This morning, WELL reported its Q3/F24 results. Conference Call: 1:00 p.m. ET (Dial- in: 1-888-664-6383).
Impact: SLIGHTLY POSITIVE
Delivers yet another beat. Q3/F24 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA beat consensus by ~2%, with revenue of $251.7mm (TD: C$247.1mm/consensus: C$247.8mm) and Adjusted EBITDA of $32.7mm (TD: C$32.6mm/consensus: C$32.0mm).
Continued strong organic growth at Circle and Wisp helped drive the modest revenue beat. Revenue grew 23% y/y (27% y/y from continuing operations).
Organic growth of 23% y/y, with M&A growth of 4% offset by the impact of divestitures.
Canadian Patient Services revenue of C$78.0mm (up 35% y/y).
This week, WELL launched a new weight care and GLP-1 offering in Canada via Tia Health virtual care. This follows Wisp's launch in 20 states last month.
U.S. Patient Services revenue of C$158.2mm (up 21% y/y).
-
Circle Medical revenue of ~$36.6mm, up 61% y/y organically with positive Adjusted EBITDA margins.
-
Wisp revenue of ~$26.9mm, up 35% y/y organically. SaaS and Technology Services revenue of C$15.6mm (up 19% y/y, adjusting for the sale of Intrahealth). >$1B annual revenue run-rate achieve one quarter ahead of its target of Q4/F24.
-
Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.0%, up from 12.7% last quarter.
-
1.48mm patient visits in Canada and the U.S., up 41% y/y. F2024 revenue guidance increased again.
Revenue of C$985mm-C$995mm (TD: $983.9mm/consensus: C$982.9mm).
-
Adjusted EBITDA was unchanged, with it expected to be in the upper range of its initial guidance of C$125mm-C$130mm (TD: C$127.6mm/consensus: C$127.3mm).
-
Represents ~12.5%-15% growth.
-
At the mid-point, it implies ~13.0% margins for F2024E and continued solid margin
expansion, with implied Q4/F24E margins of ~14%.
-
FCFA2S of ~$55mm (unchanged).
Implies ~30% y/y growth.
Robust near-term M&A pipeline. WELL indicated its M&A pipeline is the strongest it has ever had, with 17 signed LOIs and definitive agreements pending close that account for > $100mm in revenue. These deals are heavily focused on its Canadian business.
Be the first to comment on this post