Post by
Helloworld on May 01, 2024 10:46am
Comps
Let's compare YGR Q1 vs WCP Q1.
Both a mixture of gas and liquids. WCP more oil so less affected by poor gas pricing.
FFO: 24 cents YGR vs 64 cents WCP
Debt: YGR: 1.1 x FFO vs ~1 x WCP
FCF: 8 cents YGR vs 0 WCP.
Based on comparable debt and FFO values YGR should be about $4 to be valued equally to WCP.
Comment by
cfliesser on May 01, 2024 10:51am
I'd argue closer to 3... but agreed
Comment by
Hendrick3 on May 01, 2024 12:22pm
I do those comparisons all the time with ipo, Bne, Obe, Ath and we are way low on our share price comparing FFO, EPS and NAV of pdp reserves. The next lowest is probably Obe and if we had their cmcsluations we would be around $2.50. The reality is that there are more bargains than investors in this sector so out of favour names continue to languish because investors can afford to be picky.
Comment by
kavern23 on May 01, 2024 1:15pm
Hendrick some investors could be waiting too see if oil hits 70-75 range before making any moves which a good chance of oil dropping too if the Gaza/middle east premium subsides. Plus USA oil production came back after January freeze offs. Lots of people are cautious right now.
Comment by
Hendrick3 on May 01, 2024 2:56pm
Yes I agree. Sucks that results came out before a big rug pull day but we are down a penny and most down 4-5% so I guess that's a win
Comment by
Helloworld on May 01, 2024 7:42pm
YGR vs TOU CFPS: 24 cents vs 2.40 (10x) FCF: 8 cents vs 90 cents (11x) SP:1.2 vs 65 (55 x)
Comment by
Hendrick3 on May 01, 2024 8:30pm
Wait until Birchcliff comes out. Ygr looks like a superstar in comparison
Comment by
TheRexmember on May 01, 2024 8:52pm
Lol. They might at that. Dry gas is like Russian roulette the last 10 years. At least Butane and propane never got as ugly as 2019.