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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Yukon Nevada Gold Corp T.YNG

TSX:YNG - Post Discussion

Yukon Nevada Gold Corp > Predictions and guesses on stock price
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Post by MrGRP on Jan 09, 2012 3:21pm

Predictions and guesses on stock price

As an investor who has been trading this stock for a number of years I am never encouraged by people that make predictions or guesses on where the stock will be this month, next month or next year.

Although I have remained a positive investor with this stock I have learned much and realize this stock and the stock price is not merely connected to the price of gold as most gold mines are and as we have seen today it also is not necessarily affected in a positive way when positive news comes out. Much like the way bank stocks work a bank profits can be up millions but if they do not meet analysts expectations they go down. Much is the way with this stock that for years has not met analysts or investors expectaions no their own for that matter.

Example today ... after the increased value of gold reserves comes up very favourable and the company has made and released presentations about the up and coming expected increases in gold production ... today we have traded 2,885,492 shares and are down .005 or down to .26 per share. This is not even down from a good price but almost the lowest share price of the year.

The only way this share price is going to go up any amount, in my humble but experienced opinion is if this company finally manages to increase production and reach the steady state of 150,000 oz which they predicted over a year ago. I for one believe this will happen but like always, when is the question.

There is also the question of what the share price will reach. A couple of years ago I could see it hitting 3, 4 or even $5.00 per share and that was with a lower gold price. Today with the many problems experienced by this company, the poor historic reputation as well as the amount of share dilution I personally am looking at a high of 1.25 to 1.75 per share and that is if things go great and production far exceeds 150,000 oz per year and yes the important part, if they finally once again show a net profit instead of a loss ..

My opinion only ... best of fortune to all !

Comment by bebettertoday on Jan 09, 2012 3:38pm
I have also followed this stock for a couple of years and I agree with you that "Selling gold" is likely the only way the share price improves. What I don't understand is how 3+million shares are bought/sold without moving the share price. Especially when the transactions are apparently triggered by two (positive) news events. Any thoughts on that? BBT
Comment by MrGRP on Jan 09, 2012 9:34pm
A very good questions ... I th ink a couple of reasons ... first there are so many shares outstanding that for some they on a day like today have a chance to sell shares they have held ... for some strange reason though they sold today like hotcakes but no one seemed interested in raising the asking price .. I guess they own so many they put them on like we may put on 1000  and just sell ...more  
Comment by MrGRP on Jan 09, 2012 11:56pm
I remember one day years ago when I had bought big into this stock and started at a low price ... the stock was just making a come back and we all thought we would see $5 per share within months ... well I will never forget the day I think it reached .60 - .80 per share and was the top selling stock on TSX I think it sold in excess of 14  million shares ! Fortunately stuff happened in ...more  
Comment by bebettertoday on Jan 10, 2012 10:02am
Thank you...lots to think about in these posts.
Comment by MrGRP on Jan 11, 2012 12:19am
Your welcome ... yes you get all angles and opinions on this site .... you kind  of have to take the middle of the road, you will get lots of old .. real old :-) investors like Ice and others that lost money and are bitter !!! endless negativity but some is warranted to be honest ! You will also get new investors that think they are going to be millionairs with this stock .. I was one of ...more