The new OGC/Romarco versus Tahoe (THO TSX)
Oceana and Tahoe will have much in common;
1 2017 sales of 550,000 to 600,000 ounces of gold equivalent
2 each will have very very low costs
differences
1 OGC will be mainly gold with copper equal to about 100,000 ounces of gold
THO will be 60% silver and 40% GOLD ROUGHLY
Advantage Neither has an advantage
2 OGC gets a 9 out of 10 re jurisdiction with Tahoe getting a 4 out of 10
Guetamala is mud wiway between ok and dodgy.
Advantage OGC
3 extraction costs
both are in lowest quartile but Advantage THO (slightly)
4 Mine life
each has long life mines ... 15 to 25 years
THO has an advantage re the silver mine
4 Valuation $2.8b for THO and $1.4b for OGC
THO is valued at double OGC
Considering that the net present value of income beyond 2030 is not worth much now when we use an 8% discount and considering the inhersent political risks re Gibraltar one can conclude that OGC is worth much more than 50% of Tahoe. As some folks like to say; it is a no brainer.
If the price of silver skyrockets and gold stays relatively stable then THO may do better due to the big exposure to silver. For silver bulls I suggest SLW @ $18 or so
But under most circumstances the new OGC should gain on THO.
No negative is intended for THO; it is just that OGC looks so good in the new form
Prediction
1 Case A $100,000 invested in THO now
2 Case B $50,000 in OGC and $50,000 in SLW (for silver exposure)
Case B will win by a landslide over 5 and over 10 years
Of course this assumes that the OGC takeover goes ahead
mat