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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Temple Hotels TMPHF

Temple Hotels Inc owns hotel real estate in primary and secondary markets across Canada. Its segments include Fort McMurray, Other Alberta, and Other Canada. The properties portfolio of the company include British Columbia Properties, Alberta Properties, Saskatchewan Properties, Manitoba Properties, Ontario Properties, Nova Scotia Properties, and Northwest Territories Properties among others. see more

GREY:TMPHF - Post Discussion

Temple Hotels > Post Rights Offering
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Post by DanielDarden123 on Dec 21, 2016 12:14pm

Post Rights Offering

With NAV/sh. Now ~ 50 cents and using MRC, MRG.UN, and MRT.UN as a template (they all trade at large discount to NAV/sh.) does TPH trade down to 40 cents? Seems like only operational improvements will work to prevent that.
Comment by Ikarus on Dec 21, 2016 8:02pm
Sure yeah, come July/'17, .40 pretty easily baked in the cake here. This last tranch was not enough... two more easy in 2017.  You should only be holding 1/3 of your prospective final position IMHO at this point - even then, I'd suggest splitting commons with debs. Lots of debt on these books, which I've previously pointed out. As far as insiders... they too have to follow the ...more  
Comment by undervalue on Dec 23, 2016 11:58am
National bank has the NAV per share at 90 cents post the rights offer. Sahi has used rights deals to gain control of companies in the past. The Federal Industries spin out of the White Pass gave him control of TWC. At TWC,there has been a small minority of shareholders that has done well. (not been screwed) With TPH, he has bought control of a business at the bottom of its trading range, meanwhile ...more  
Comment by DanielDarden123 on Dec 23, 2016 2:04pm
The challenge with predictions is always the difficulty in foretelling the future. Many stars will have to align here because of the debt situation. With respect to National Bank, they were the Managing Dealer for the Rights Offering. Often a research report will follow which justifies their involvement and their fee. What assumptions were used? IFRS values, cap rate, NOI growth? Using Q3 with a  ...more  
Comment by undervalue on Dec 23, 2016 5:22pm
They used a 9.5% cap rate, 7 times 2017 e AFFO. The Nav is 97 cents, and they discounted down to 90 cents for purpose of est target price. And, what is the point of investing if you are not attempting predictions. The Sahi track record is excellent.
Comment by robbie80 on Dec 28, 2016 7:30pm
Could you copy the national bank report? Thanks
Comment by undervalue on Dec 31, 2016 12:09pm
Hi, just send me an email and I will forward.