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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Arizona Gold & Silver Inc V.AZS

Alternate Symbol(s):  AZASF

Arizona Gold & Silver Inc. is a Canada-based company junior exploration company focused on exploring gold-silver properties in western Arizona and Nevada. The Company owns Philadelphia property, Silverton Gold project, and Sycamore Canyon project. The Philadelphia Property is a high-grade gold and silver vein target located in Mohave County, northwestern Arizona and is comprised of 30 claims... see more

TSXV:AZS - Post Discussion

Arizona Gold & Silver Inc > Morningstar Quantatative report AZS 4 stars undervalued 53%
View:
Post by winr88 on Nov 02, 2022 12:35pm

Morningstar Quantatative report AZS 4 stars undervalued 53%

The stars copied as Qs
Fair value $.48
I expect the SP to move up when the new drill program is announced

Arizona Silver Exploration Inc AZS QQQQ 1 Nov 2022, 01:30 UTC
Economic Moat Uncertainty Price/Fair Value ESG Risk Rating Assessment1 Trailing Dividend Yield % Market Cap Investment Style Sector Industry
None Extreme 0.5 14.8322 Mil Small Core Basic
Materials Silver0.001
8
2
4 Fair ValueQoant
0.48
Last Close
0.23
Overvalued
Fairly Valued
Undervalued
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 YTD
1.46 0.94 0.58 0.71 1.06 0.88 0.51 0.68 0.65 0.46 0.47
-40.00 -55.56 -75.00 0.00 1,900.00 15.00 -56.52 40.00 157.14 -43.06 12.20
-47.49 -68.44 -85.22 8.66 1,878.48 5.80 -47.51 17.42 151.35 -67.77 18.22
Performance
Price/Fair Value
Total Return %
+/- Index
As of 31 Oct 2022 | Index: Morningstar Canada GR CAD. Fair Value data as of 1 Nov 2022, 01:30 UTC.
1The ESG Risk Rating Assessment is a representation of Sustainalytics' ESG Risk Rating.Lee Davidson, Head of Manger and Quantitative Research, oversees the methodology that
supports Quantitative Fair Value Estimates and Quantitative Star Ratings. Mr. Davidson is guided by the Code of Ethics and Investment Research Integrity Policy of Morningstar
Research Services LLC, a subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. Morningstars Quantitative Research team, which consist of employees of Morningstar, Inc., are guided by Morningstar, Inc.s
Code of Ethics. For information regarding Conflicts of Interests,visit https://global.morningstar.com/equitydisclosures.
Valuation as of 31 Oct 2022Fair ValueQoant
0.48
UncertaintyQoant
:
Extreme
Last Close
0.23
AZS is Under
Valued at a 53%
discount.
Economic Moat
None
Financial Health
Moderate
1-Star Price
1.19
5-Star Price
0.20
Contact
777 Hornby Street, Vancouver, BC V6Z 1S4
+1 604 559-3511

https://www.arizonasilverexploration.com
Financials as of 31 Oct 2022 (Fiscal Year End 31 Aug 2022)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 YTD Fiscal
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Revenue
-57 -84 -139 -79 -76 -612 -554 -464 -1,160 -438 Operating Income (K)
Operating Margin (%)
-57 -84 -139 -131 24 -612 -554 -461 -1,152 -459 Net Income (K)
-0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 Diluted Earnings/Share
-44 -69 -141 -111 -6 -452 -359 -172 -446 -516 Operating Cash Flow (K)
-932 -651 -301 -846 -1,615 Capital Spending (K)
-44 -69 -141 -111 -6 -1,384 -1,010 -472 -1,292 -2,130 Free Cash Flow (K)
3.63 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 21.24 28.86 32.60 43.12 56.27 61.32 Avg Shares Outstand(Mil)
Dividend Per Share
Valuation as of 31 Oct 2022
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Current Calendar
1.46 0.94 0.58 0.71 1.06 0.88 0.51 0.68 0.65 0.46 0.47 Price/Fair Value
Price/Sales
40.00 Price/Earnings
38.79 Price/Cash Flow
1.85 0.37 76.73 2.55 1.35 1.97 4.84 2.19 2.08 Price/Book
Operating Performance as of (Fiscal Year End 31 Aug 2022)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q3 Fiscal (%)
-14.57 -23.8 -55.2 -101 9.2 -39.31 -21.88 -17.98 -32.09 -8.81 -1.37 Return on Assets
-15.51 -25.53 -60.94 -137 56.33 -45.98 -22.35 -19.22 -34.12 -9.05 -1.4 Return on Equity
-15.51 -25.53 -60.94 -137 56.33 -45.98 -22.35 -18.73 -34.12 -9.05 -1.4 Rtn on Invested Capital
Business Description
Arizona Silver Exploration Inc is a mining company.
It is principally engaged in acquiring and evaluat-
ing exploration assets. The company owns an in-

terest in the Ramsey Silver Project, Sycamore
Canyon Property, and Philadelphia Property in Ari-
zona; Silverton Gold Property in Nevada.

Quantitative Equity Research Report | Release: 1 Nov 2022, 06:53 UTC | Reporting Currency: CAD | Trading Currency: CAD | Exchange: TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE
©2022 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions
presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and are
subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or
opinions or their use. The information herein may not be reproduced, in any manner without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
 
®
Quantitative Equity Reports Overview
The quantitative report on equities consists of data, statistics and quantitative
equity ratings on equity securities. Morningstar, Inc.s quantitative equity
ratings are forward looking and are generated by a statistical model that is
based on Morningstar Inc.s analyst-driven equity ratings and quantitative
statistics. Given the nature of the quantitative report and the quantitative
ratings, there is no one analyst in which a given report is attributed to;
however, Mr. Lee Davidson, Head of Quantitative Research for Morningstar,
Inc., is responsible for overseeing the methodology that supports the
quantitative equity ratings used in this report. As an employee of Morningstar,
Inc., Mr. Davidson is guided by Morningstar, Inc.s Code of Ethics and Personal
Securities Trading Policy in carrying out his responsibilities.
Quantitative Equity Ratings
Morningstars quantitative equity ratings consist of: (i) Quantitative Fair Value
Estimate, (ii) Quantitative Star Rating, (iii) Quantitative Uncertainty, (iv)
Quantitative Economic Moat, and (v) Quantitative Financial Health (collectively
the Quantitative Ratings).
The Quantitative Ratings are calculated daily and derived from the analyst-
driven ratings of a companys peers as determined by statistical algorithms.
Morningstar, Inc. (Morningstar, we, our) calculates Quantitative Ratings
for companies whether or not it already provides analyst ratings and qualitative
coverage. In some cases, the Quantitative Ratings may differ from the analyst
ratings because a companys analyst-driven ratings can significantly differ from
other companies in its peer group.
i. Quantitative Fair Value Estimate: Intended to represent Morningstars
estimate of the per share dollar amount that a companys equity is worth
today. Morningstar calculates the Quantitative Fair Value Estimate using a
statistical model derived from the Fair Value Estimate Morningstars equity
analysts assign to companies. Please go to https://global.morningstar.com/
equitydisclosures for information about Fair Value Estimate Morningstars
equity analysts assign to companies.
ii. Quantitative Economic Moat: Intended to describe the strength of a firms
competitive position. It is calculated using an algorithm designed to predict the
Economic Moat rating a Morningstar analyst would assign to the stock. The
rating is expressed as Narrow, Wide, or None.
Narrow assigned when the probability of a stock receiving a Wide Moat
rating by an analyst is greater than 70% but less than 99%.
Wide assigned when the probability of a stock receiving a Wide Moat
rating by an analyst is greater than 99%.
None assigned when the probability of an analyst receiving a Wide
Moat rating by an analyst is less than 70%.
iii. Quantitative Star Rating: Intended to be the summary rating based on the
combination of our Quantitative Fair Value Estimate, current market price,
Quantitative Uncertainty Rating, and momentum. The rating is expressed as
One-Star, Two-Star, Three-Star, Four-Star, and Five-Star.
One-Star the stock is overvalued with a reasonable margin of safety.
Log (Quant FVE/Price) < -1*Quantitative Uncertainty
Micro-Caps: Log (Quant FVE/Price) < -1.5*Quantitative Uncertainty
Two-Star - the stock is somewhat overvalued.
Log (Quant FVE/Price) between (-1*Quantitative Uncertainty, -0.5*Quantitative
Uncertainty)
Micro-Caps: Log (Quant FVE/Price) between (-1.5*Quantitative Uncertainty, -
0.75*Quantitative Uncertainty)
Three-Star the stock is approximately fairly valued.
Log (Quant FVE/Price) between (-0.5*Quantitative Uncertainty, 0.5*Quantitative
Uncertainty)
Micro-Caps: Log (Quant FVE/Price) between (-0.75*Quantitative Uncertainty,
0.75*Quantitative Uncertainty)
Four-Star the stock is somewhat undervalued.
Log (Quant FVE/Price) between (0.5*Quantitative Uncertainty, 1*Quantitative
Uncertainty)
Micro-Caps: Log (Quant FVE/Price) between (0.75*Quantitative Uncertainty,
1.5*Quantitative Uncertainty)
Five-Star the stock is undervalued with a reasonable margin of safety.
Log (Quant FVE/Price) > 1*Quantitative Uncertainty
Micro-Caps: Log (Quant FVE/Price) > 1.5*Quantitative Uncertainty
After the initial calculation for the star rating, there is a final filtering step
based on the momentum of the company. We rank the companies based on
their 12-1 month momentum, then restrict those below the 30th percentile to a
maximum of 3 stars.
iv. Quantitative Uncertainty: Intended to represent Morningstars level of
uncertainty about the accuracy of the Quantitative Fair Value Estimate.
Generally, the lower the Quantitative Uncertainty, the narrower the potential
range of outcomes for that particular company. The rating is expressed as Low,
Medium, High, Very High, and Extreme.
Low the interquartile range for possible fair values is less than 10%
Medium the interquartile range for possible fair values is less than 15%
but greater than 10%
High the interquartile range for possible fair values is less than 35% but
greater than 15%
Very High the interquartile range for possible fair values is less than 80%
but greater than 35%
Extreme the interquartile range for possible fair values is greater than
80%
v. Quantitative Financial Health: Intended to reflect the probability that a firm
will face financial distress in the near future. The calculation uses a predictive
model designed to anticipate when a company may default on its financial
obligations. The rating is expressed as Weak, Moderate, and Strong.
Weak assigned when Quantitative Financial Health < 0.2
Moderate assigned when Quantitative Financial Health is between 0.2
and 0.7
Strong assigned when Quantitative Financial Health > 0.7
Other Definitions
i. Last Close Price of the stock as of the close of the market of the last
trading day before date of the report.
ii. Quantitative Valuation Using the below terms, intended to denote the
relationship between the securitys Last Price and Morningstars quantitative
fair value estimate for that security.
Undervalued Last Price is below Morningstars quantitative fair value
estimate.
Farily Valued Last Price is in line with Morningstars quantitative fair value
estimate.
Overvalued Last Price is above Morningstars quantitative fair value
estimate.
This Report has not been made available to the issuer of the security prior to
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Please note that investments in securities are subject to market and other risks
and there is no assurance or guarantee that the intended investment objectives
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an investors shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. A
securitys current investment performance may be lower or higher than the
investment performance noted within the report.
The quantitative equity ratings are not statements of fact. Morningstar does
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used in determining the quantitative equity ratings. In addition, there is the risk
that the price target will not be met due to such things as unforeseen changes
in demand for the companys products, changes in management, technology,
economic development, interest rate development, operating and/or material
costs, competitive pressure, supervisory law, exchange rate, and tax rate. For
Quantitative Equity Research Report | Release: 1 Nov 2022, 06:53 UTC | Reporting Currency: CAD | Trading Currency: CAD | Exchange: TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE
©2022 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions
presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and are
subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or
opinions or their use. The information herein may not be reproduced, in any manner without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.

 
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