Post by
TruDat on Jun 24, 2015 9:59am
Arbitrage Opportunities
Possible opportunities to profit arbitrage in this deal.
TWD is currently at $1.85 which gives BED a value of $.86 at the ratio of .46f per the deal.
over 10% difference in share price at the moment.
Comment by
Roxy27 on Jun 24, 2015 10:42am
Very good observation. Picked up more at 77 cents. Can anyone explain this or is it just market inefficiences on a small cap less liquid name? I don't see there being a regulatory issue with the merger. BED is undervalued at 77 cents IMHO TWEED is trading up on the news and is the confirmed market leader. seems like free money Interested in knowing what would be the cause Good luck.
Comment by
CommonCentsforDollars on Jun 24, 2015 11:16am
$2.07's getting eaten up right now on the tweed side....
Comment by
CommonCentsforDollars on Jun 24, 2015 11:33am
Tweed @ $2.15 now,.. will see how it moves after the lunch hour lull,.. 12:30 does more momo get in?
Comment by
bullishbear369 on Jun 24, 2015 11:37am
Wouldn't it be cheaper for investors to buy BED than TWD? The BED shares will turn into TWD shares, but you will be getting them at a discount....
Comment by
CasusFortuitus on Jun 24, 2015 11:39am
But you will only get .465 TWD shares for every 1 BED share, right?
Comment by
bullishbear369 on Jun 24, 2015 11:44am
Let's say TWD = $2 $2 / .465 = 4.3 That means BED should be at $0.93 for it to be a exact fair value of TWD at $2 Since TWD is above $2, that means you're scoring a deal on TWD shares by buying BED shares @ 95c or under!
Comment by
cinema4d on Jun 24, 2015 12:14pm
as long as twd doesn't fall back under 2 after all this dilution...correct? C
Comment by
bullishbear369 on Jun 24, 2015 12:27pm
Correct. But people are buying TWD over $2, when they should really be buying BED for the discount - you could potentially break even with more shares if it goes below $2. I don't see why anyone would buy TWD at $2+ when BED gives you a discount on their shares.
Comment by
cinema4d on Jun 24, 2015 12:42pm
100% Agreed!..but as we know invstors are a funny bunch:)....
Comment by
cinema4d on Jun 24, 2015 12:49pm
looking at the volume between the 2 companies I would have to say that is what investors are doing C