Catch the Wind Ltd V.CTW

upcoming event apr 16-19

[powerhour]

Catch the Wind will be here: Europes premier wind energy event

EWEA 2012 Event
April 16-19 • Copenhagen, Denmark
Stand C3-A10

https://events.ewea.org/annual2012/

this is gonna be good!

[xsnrg]

Honestly guys this is not rocket science.  They last report $9.3M in cash which is 7.57 cents FULLY diluted with all the options and stuff out there.  There is a 18.6M lawsuit against the former CEO and I am not saying we will get all that money but a settlement @ 50% would coincidentally give us another $9.3M in cash (maybe that's how they chose the amount of the lawsuit lol)....so

[powerhour]

From Q1 2011 conference call guidance was:   2011: 45 units 2012: 600 units 2013: 1000+ units 2012: 600 units x 125,000 a piece = $75,000,000 in potential sales 122,776,114 shares out. sp should be well over .65 2013: 1000 units x 125,000 a piece = $125,000,000 in potential sales 122,776,114 shares out. sp should be well over $1.00 if i did the math correctly

[errussell]

The market has changed though in the last few years....less investment on potential income....people want to see actual value! I your values are probably good but we will not see a change until there is something on paper to show actual value.

[rejven]

 Listen to the conf call from feb 14 2012, the company is expected to reach breakeven q3 this year and they state that "Our breakeven now is about $4,500,000 revenue per quarter". Conference call: https://www.newswire.ca/en/webcast/detail/907459/968293

[xsnrg]

I was thinking math more like this: 125M @ 50% profit margin (I think they said they get over 60%) but let's say 50%.   So lets say $61M in earnings over 122M shares gives you 50 cents a share in EARNINGS.  And then of course any P/E ratio sends this thing to never never land.  Say conservatively 10X your talking $6 and this is 2013 were talking about.  Not a pipe

[peakoiled]

I'm pretty sure they said GROSS margin not net profit margins. Gross margins may be near 50% but I think net profit margins will be closer to 10% (which is still quite good) until they are producing over 1000 units per year. Management also noted on the last call that ASP (average selling price) has been coming down and is now around $100,000. The CEO also said they are trying to reduce this

[boomboom2]

Can anyone tell me If they actually achieved thier 45 unit sales In 2011?     BB2.

[powerhour]

bb2 here you go. someone posted this. hope this helps you A summary of units sold since the start of 2010:   JUNE 28, 2010: 2 to BP Wind  JULY 20, 2010: 1 to enXco SEPT 1 , 2010: 47 (over 4 years) to AXYS Technologies MAY  12, 2011: 20 to TransAlta MAY  16, 2011: 1 unit to Illinois Institute of Technology JUNE 1,  2011: 1 unit to Kruger Energy Port Alma JUNE 6,  2011:

[boomboom2]

Thank You.     BB2.

[indexxx]

How can the .70 share price target become $6 in nine months?

[Horn1369]

  "How can the  .70 share price target become $6 in nine months?"   Because of the number of sales to come and speculation. They are trying to make this an standard issue on all different brands of Wind Turbines.  Please people do some DD, this is much more than a penny flipping stock.

[peakoiled]

It likely won't. He was mixing up gross margins with net margins in his analysis. See my past response to see a more accurate target. I think we could see a per share price of $1 by the end of 2013 though. I think we'll see .30 price per share by the end of 2012.