Post by
Investor10X on Nov 21, 2021 4:46pm
Comparing DM to other AI and Healthcare Stocks
Should be an interesting few weeks. Q3 financials out this week or next and perhaps more AI news. Should continue the current pace of a $60 million run rate for the year. $60 million x 10x valuation = $600 million/355 million shares outstanding = $1.69 ($600 million/425 million shares fully diluted = $1.41).
DM had already hit $30 million for revenue for the year in Q2, one would think the stock should have at least been priced at half that number which would be a quarter of the $60 million run rate for the year. ($15 million x 10 = $0.42). $15 million would currently be the money the company has in bank when last we heard.
The company is proving out the revenue for the year with clean books, money in the bank, MediCall and an expanding AI sector into various verticals. I think it's fair to look at DM based on a minimum $60 million run rate for the year.
1x valuation = $0.17 (fully diluted = $0.14)
2x valuation = $0.34 (fully diluted = $0.28)
3x valuation = $0.51 (fully diluted = $0.42)
4x valuation = $0.68 (fully diluted = $0.56)
5x valuation = $0.85 (fully diluted = $0.71)
6x valuation = $1.11 (fully diluted = $0.85)
7x valuation = $1.29 (fully diluted = $0.99)
8x valuation = $1.48 (fully diluted = $1.13)
9x valuation = $1.66 (fully diluted = $1.27)
10x valuation = $1.69 (fully diluted = $1.41)
Other companies from health and AI sectors
Empower Clinics - CBDT (Healthcare)
Current share price: $0.335
Market Cap: $112 milion
Q2 revenue: $2.8 million
Currently trading at 3.98x revenue
EPS (-0.24) However, this is due to warrants being exercised - mostly a paper loss, not real cash loss.
Therma Bright - THRM (Healthcare)
Current share price: $0.385
Market Cap: $84 million
Revenue: $3 521 (9 months ended April, 2021)
Currently trading at 24055x revenue (Yes, that is correct, 24 thousand fifty-five times!)
EPS (-0.05)
CoudMD - DOC (Healthcare)
Current share price: $1.36
Market Cap: $316 million
Q2 revenue: $2.8 million
Currently trading at 113x revenue
EPS (-0.12)
Fobi AI - FOBI (AI)
Current share price: $1.53
Market Cap: $220 million
Revenue: $10 016 (9 months ended April, 2021)
Currently trading at 22149x revenue
(Yes, this is also correct based on the most updated infomation I could find on their revenue. I'm sure their revenue is higher now, but there was no information for Q2 on Sedar)
EPS (-0.09)
The next 5 are condsidered the top junior AI companies in an article I found Nov. 4th, 2021
DeepSpatial - DSAI (AI)
Current share price: $0.16
Market Cap: $15 million
Q2 revenue: no revenue, operating at a loss ($1.2 million cash on hand - I used this)
Currently trading at 12.5x cash on hand (i.e. this number should be higher, with no revenue)
EPS (-0.03)
Zoomd Tech - ZOMD (AI)
Current share price: $0.59
Market Cap: $56 million
Q2 revenue: 18 million
Currently trading at 3.1x revenue
EPS (-0.04)
Certive Solutions - CBP (AI)
Current share price: $0.055
Market Cap: $7.89 million
Q2 revenue: $263 836
Currently trading at 30x revenue
EPS (-0.01)
Mobilum Technologies - MBLM (AI)
Current share price: $0.24
Market Cap: $37.53 million
Q2 revenue: Operating at a loss ($6.9 million cash on hand - I'll use the cash on hand)
Currently trading at 5.4x cash on hand (i.e. this number should be far higher, with no revenue)
EPS (-0.12)
Plurilock Security - PLUR (AI)
Current share price: $0.50
Market Cap: $35 million
Q2 revenue: $8.6 million
Currently trading at 4x revenue
EPS (-0.15)
I don't know what else to say. Comparing DM to other AI or healthcare stocks shows that DM is so far undervalued that the stock price has no other direction, but to go up. DM is the only one with a positive EPS and yet based on the revenue alone trades far below the other stocks in valuation. DM also has a clean balance sheet and money in the bank. A number of those stocks are trading far beyond their current revenue stream or at least the most up-to-date revenue I could find on sedar (i.e. THRM and FOBI). And for others where I could not find a revenue number I was generous to use their cash on hand instead.
Comment by
TorlifTostorson on Nov 21, 2021 5:25pm
Awesome post @Investor10X. Well appreciated! Great luck to you Torlif
Comment by
mellocello on Nov 21, 2021 5:27pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by
Investor10X on Nov 21, 2021 5:57pm
Thanks! It's laughable how undervalued DM is. It's also interesting that DM isn't even on the radar of some of these writers for their top 5 or top 10 junior AI companies.
Comment by
astutein on Nov 21, 2021 8:29pm
investor10x--After Q3 comes out with M&A comments could you re-do your calculations based upon actual cash on hand and possible redo of your cash run calculations.
Comment by
Investor10X on Nov 21, 2021 8:44pm
I can certainly do that. All the expenses and liabilites will be listed as well as their assets and revenues. However, the company should have a positive EPS, which will tell us that the company is profitable. The higher the EPS the higher the corporate value. For a junior micro/small cap company that is already a great achievement.
Comment by
tankumo on Nov 21, 2021 6:01pm
Stocks trade at anticipation of future. Cloud MD run rate is $160 million, Q3 guidance is 38 to 40 million, though Q2 is only 2.8 million. Both Cloud MD and DM are trading cheap, JMHO.
Comment by
themason on Nov 21, 2021 10:22pm
How much of that is attributed to Ai, very little, hence the problem.
Comment by
tankumo on Nov 22, 2021 3:02am
We may actually see over $60 million run rate. JMHO.
Comment by
WalkingDead01 on Nov 21, 2021 9:19pm
Great Post Investor 10x . I have nothing to add other than that DM is still an incredible opportunity and sooner or later we will be rewarded. Good luck .
Comment by
shaker13 on Nov 21, 2021 11:26pm
Excellent work Investor10X I hope you don't mind me sharing your Due Diligence on Twitter https://twitter.com/riverdalkidd/status/1462636898459914241?s=21
Comment by
Investor10X on Nov 22, 2021 12:06am
You would need to correct the CloudMD Q2 revenue to $16 million, as I mistakingly took the Q2 from 2020.
Comment by
Sevear1 on Nov 22, 2021 10:23am
Agree 100%, so undervalued in my opinion. Been holding for 2 years or so, and have been averaging up the whole time...lol. Without a doubt at some point this stock will get noticed and rise to it's proper valuation. Boggles the mind the amount of stocks out there with little or no revenue, hemorrhaging cash and are priced 2x, 5x or even 10x more!!
Comment by
baggerx99 on Dec 07, 2021 8:56pm
Had to rehash for some perspective of where the sp should be after the release of Q3....