Post by
68Charger1 on Jul 21, 2024 3:29pm
FDR and a scorching-fast 3rd Derivative output
No massive increase in FDR posts/posters on CEO.ca (yet), but the absolute fastest uptake ever on my previous Stockhouse FDR post. I posted it very late last night (a *Saturday* night, mind you), when I assumed most of my potential audience would be asleep. Guess FDR loyalists are always on duty.
I had something new to say, but I also was curious to see how quickly it got read. Apologies if I woke anyone up with alerts, though you might want to reconsider using your smart phone as an alarm clock.
The post got 64 views in 2 hours – probably a record for anything I’ve ever done at Stockhouse. For context, my posts normally get around 20-30 views in the first 24-hour period.
I hypothesized a few months back that just as a given stock’s rising trading volume has for 100+ years preceded a rise/fall in its price, today we can use rising social media chatter on a stock to predict rising volume/price. And my 3rd Derivative frame predicts that just before the volume of chatter itself increases, there will be increasing hunger for reading whatever the usual posters say.
When I decided to start writing about FDR, I situated myself on Stockhouse because I figured it had become the home of the long-form content, while the play-by-play had moved to CEO.ca. But the other advantage to Stockhouse, for my purposes, is that CEO.ca does not show views for a post, only likes. Granted, likes are a proxy for views, and the “online” running tally is also a good proxy. I recall it peaking at 150+ for the Great Bear channel when the official buyout news broke.
All of which is to say, it looks like FDR is headed for besting its Friday all-time-high stock price tomorrow morning. If that move is preceded by additional new posters (already occurring on CEO.ca lately), and additional posts by long-time posters, all while the average word-length of posts is rising, I may be able to upgrade my hypothesis into a formal theory.
And if this all sounds like self-fulfilling prophecy… maybe that’s because action generates dopamine which feeds back into more action. As regular gym-goers already know. It might be just that simple.
Have fun tomorrow, everyone.
Comment by
SSeahawk053 on Jul 25, 2024 7:01pm
OK 68Charger1...It's been quite a week so far, damn right impressive with the Gold swings!! Would love to hear your FDR comments on all the actions of the week and your uplifting commentary as we near month end and what I think will be a most exciting month of August coming up!! Thx