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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Galway Resources Ltd V.GWY

TSXV:GWY - Post Discussion

Galway Resources Ltd > Question for the Thinkers
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Post by Aurun on Jul 14, 2012 9:42am

Question for the Thinkers

Gotta ask the question - First some background: I've been long on GWY for a LONG time.  We all know they are literally sitting on a LOT of high grade gold, not to mention the other assets.  We also know that the share price is manipulated very easily and quite often.  We all know management does not understand or does not want to bring positive press to the company, although I remember an article written about them hiring a company or person specifically for marketing purposes close to a year ago.  Finally, we all know that the stock price has actually dropped 95% of the time after a fantastic or positive press release - again obvious manipulation.  My question is, what makes us (or why should I) believe that if/when the resource estimates come out, assuming they are fantastic, that the stock price will once again not be manipulated down?  Let's be honest, it doesn't take a lot of money to move this stock in one direction or the other. 

One ray of hope that I do see is that that current short position has not been this low sinc 2009.  Currently, as of 6-30-2012, the short position is 20,044.  (For comparison, the short position on 1/31/2012 was 349,074).  The last time the shorts were so low was 8-19-2009 where they were at 0.  In weeks, the stock went from $.45 to $1.5.  Then on 12-31-2009, the short position went to 1,082,000, 30 days later the shorts were at 3,205,900 and the price went from $1.50 down to $.80.  Maybe the shorts are telling us something - Hey, Maybe I just answered my own question!!

Still looking for some other answers though.  Hang tight fellas.

Comment by Geef on Jul 15, 2012 11:44am
Aurun - I would be  happy with the short position at 3M.  That would represent a large pool of stock that has to be redeemed at some point.  The fact that the short position has collapsed to around 20k says to me that the bashers are finally turning nervous. However, you are correct in pointing out that a penney stock does not need a lot of cash to move it.
Comment by bepractical on Jul 15, 2012 12:57pm
You must remember that stocks are shorted when the share price seems too high. Currently, GWY share price is in a buying range and shorts are happy to close their trade at the low end. Shorts disappear when a stock is undervalued and GWY is trading at it's low range. Also, we should not expect GWY is get a similar price per ounce of inferred resources as Ventana since the market has ...more  
Comment by Geef on Jul 15, 2012 3:59pm
bepracticle - your theory on the short position assumes that there is a body of opinion that thinks anything over a price of $1.50 is too rich and deservse to be shorted.  There is also a number of posters who think that anything less than $2.00 is rediculous. All this of course in a complete absence of any info on which to base these predictions. I do not have any info either, but I have ...more  
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