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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum First Helium Inc V.HELI

Alternate Symbol(s):  FHELF

First Helium Inc. is a Canada-based independent provider of helium gas in North America. The Company is exploring and developing a premier helium project in Alberta, Canada. The Company's Worsley Helium Project in northwestern Alberta is an advanced-stage project covering 53,000 acres with multi-commodity exposure to helium, as well as oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas. Its... see more

TSXV:HELI - Post Discussion

First Helium Inc > The year ahead
View:
Post by Wheels54 on Dec 11, 2022 9:26pm

The year ahead

The year ahead has the potential to see the company and stock rise substancially.

Obviously it can remain stagnant and drop further as well.

The good:
  • The company is set to bring their two sources of income (two oil wells) back online after completing facility optimizing work which will apparently reduce operating costs by around 50%. 
  • Their verified commercial ready 1.3% helium content well has apparently doubled in value from 15m to 30m since the last valuation with the HE pricing seemingly continuing to increase.
  • The stock price has been supreamly  battered leading to a current price almost at a level before all the last year advancements included added more land, compleating more 3D surveying as well as the mentioned point above.
  • Canada has included HE as a critical element important to our security as well as economic and green future. So the potential for support for this young industry is there.
The bad:
  • While it sounds like their two wells should be online soon. If there is a hiccup or delay in this. It will not be good for them. While they are currently the only HE player in Canada generating a meaningfull amount of revenue, obviously if they can't get these going again as they have updated on. It will be an issue.
  • While their 15-25 well is ready to have the facility work completed they need to procure an offtake agreement to find reasonable financing. This needs to happen this year, and sooner rather than later. If they can't get this done in 2023 then IMO their chances will drastically reduce of becoming a major player in the space
  • Management had a great first half of 2022 and followed it up with lack luster performance IMO. While they've apparently managed to generate income, increase assets, and maintain little to no debt, they did conduct a PP recently which possibly could have been avoided with better mangement over the last 6 months.
  • The macroeconomic environment is murky at best with recession likely in manys view. These have caused headwinds and have likely already resulted in the current battered stock price.

IMO this is a long-term hold with a big potential for very good returns at the current stock price. It is a very new and speculative Canadian industry but the global market is legitimately there and growing in demand with many past supply sources either dwindling or unreliable (Russia).

Note: I'm not trying to "pump" this stock.
I'm invested and have been invested for awhile.
If I felt the negatives outweighed the positives or the overall potential did not remain medium to longer term I would not remain invested.
Comment by minigoon on Dec 12, 2022 12:01am
Not sure what kind of production we will balance out at with the 2 oil wells. Anyone know how close the water disposal well is. I think anything over 300 boe of oil on a consistent daily bases would be nice as a bottom, anything higher is a bonus imo. Don't forget, one will have to get rid of 300 boe of water daily also.  A 150 boe oil well is nothing to sneeze at if oil stays up. 
Comment by HeliumToTheMoon on Dec 12, 2022 10:10pm
Someone on discord figures the water disposal well has been approved. Hopefully it's true https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/960612593209335870/1052047469330042900/Capture.PNG
Comment by forwardflash on Dec 13, 2022 1:10am
Thanks for the post.  Don't know the origination of the document but it looks legit.  I picked up some shares early last week was sure they would approve the permint.  The SP should get a bump up when the company does a PR on that news.
Comment by kepiyal on Dec 12, 2022 1:01am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
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