Post by
Simplelife on Jan 30, 2024 5:16pm
Long time shareholder first time poster
First off I'm quite bullish and have been for sometime I see so many positives . That being said I'm pretty experienced in the equity markets and can't quite shake 2 observations. Number 1 the market is astute and doesn't often substantially undervalue a company for a long period of time. so why is this stock not trading higher? Let presume market thought there was a reasonable likelyhood of takeover of this stock in the future it would price a portion of some of that into the stock now. The stock market is a voting machine with dollars which would force the price beyond the 50 cent range. Call me cynical but it seems to be good to get true. Number 2 I've never ever seen a takeover at 20 x market price ever. I understand with friends and family and insider control it's not quite the same thing as they have more control but still it seems to be too good to be true. As I said I'm still bullish for many reasons but these points above i can't quite shake. Any thoughts or comments on the above I'm all ears
Comment by
Primpage on Jan 30, 2024 5:58pm
Didn't Great Bear Resources 35X?
Comment by
JoJoHairBlo on Jan 30, 2024 6:14pm
May 2018 = about $0.50 Nov. 2021 = about $28.00
Comment by
Simplelife on Jan 30, 2024 6:28pm
Ok fair bit that is in like 3.5 years. Show me one example of 20x money in takeover or even 5 or 10x? The takeover premium ? That never happens from my experience. If I'm wrong please correct me
Comment by
Primpage on Jan 30, 2024 6:35pm
I'm hoping that we can see some of these return in this gold cycle as they saw during these historical gold cycles. Have a look through this article... https://goldsurvivalguide.co.nz/what-10-baggers-and-100-baggers-look-like/
Comment by
Simplelife on Jan 30, 2024 6:40pm
Thanks ! That's an interesting article I must say.lets assume we don't get this super cycle in gold and gold stays relatively flat what do you suspect is a reasonable takeover over price per share?
Comment by
JoJoHairBlo on Jan 30, 2024 8:35pm
My gut feeling is that there is potentially so much gold in the ground and so much $$$ involved that the buyer insisted on an MRE before finalizing a deal. For some reason I just get the sense that we won't see a deal for another year or so, until the scheduled drilling and MRE have been completed. I'm not too bothered by it though and happy to hold LME until such time.
Comment by
GoldBelt on Jan 30, 2024 8:53pm
It's all a matter of price. Buyer(s) may not want all the properties. Buyer(s) may not have all the cash. MRE doesn't really affect share price...just google "MRE and mining " check the share price reaction. I think to get the deal done LME may have to drop it's all cash demand and accept cash+shares of acquirer(s).