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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Lonestar West Inc. V.LSI

"Lonestar West Inc provides the technical application of hydro-vacuum, vacuum, water truck and auxiliary services to infrastructure and oil and gas customers."

TSXV:LSI - Post Discussion

Lonestar West Inc. > Same idea applies to Lonestar
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Post by PAGODA5 on Jan 25, 2015 11:50pm

Same idea applies to Lonestar

The sharp decline in oil prices has affected companies indirectly related to the energy sector, but Stephen Takacsy believes there are opportunities among these "babies thrown out with the bathwater."

The chief investment officer at Montreal-based Lester Asset Management is specifically looking at industrial companies that have had dramatic shareprice declines.

"We're looking at companies that do business with the oil and gas industry, but also deal with other sectors and may have been unfairly punished," Takacsy said.

Such companies include industrial-waste recycler Newalta Corp., cleanair equipment supplier Questor Technology Inc., and excavating-services provider Badger Daylighting Ltd.

Takacsy also considers transportation (airlines and trucking) and consumer retail stocks as the obvious beneficiaries of oil's plunge into bear territory, but believes these sectors are expensive.

"We think [oil's price drop] is largely priced into the market," Takacsy said.

"When oil prices turn up, everyone is going to bail out of that theme."

As a result, industrials remain the biggest sector weight in the Lester Canadian Equity Fund at 22%, while larger dividendpaying stocks account for roughly 25%.

The latter includes utilities, pipelines, telcos and smaller renewable energy companies.

Takacsy believes dividend yield will remain an important part of investor returns given the persistent low-growth and lowinterest-rate environment globally.

"Inflation is virtually nonexistent or even negative in some places," he said.

"And with oil prices down so much, that's going to further mute inflation. "That's why there won't be any big move up in rates and that's what the bond market has been telling us."

jratner@nationalpost.com Twitter.com/jonratner

MANAGER PROFILE

Manager Stephen Takacsy, Lester Asset Management Fund Lester Canadian Equity Fund Description All-cap fund focused on under-represented sectors Firm AUM $285 million Performance 1 year: 8.8%; 3-year: 14.4%; 5-year: 14.9% (annualized, net of fees, as of Dec. 31, 2014) Management fee 1.5%

BUY SELL

Big-picture views, current issues, outlook and picks.

BUY

DirectCash Payments Inc. (DCI /TS X) The position Largest holding Why do you like it? A former income trust yielding 7.5%, Takacsy considers DirectCash the safest high-dividend-yielding stock out there.

The largest independent consolidator of ATM networks in Canada also has become a market leader in Australia, New Zealand and England, and diversified its revenues by acquiring Threshold Financial Technologies Inc., a Canadian company that manages ATMs for credit unions and does transaction and payment processing. "It generates a lot of cash, has very low capex, its CEO is a major shareholder, and there is a large short position on the stock," Takacsy said. "It's one of the few bargains having a great yield with a low payout ratio, as well as a low valuation."

Biggest risk A more rapid decline in ATM use.

Badger Daylighting Ltd. (BAD/TS X) The position Recently added to new position established in September 2014 Why do you like it? Takacsy bought Badger, the largest operator of hydrovac trucks in North America, following the October 2014 market correction. Its trucks use high water pressure to excavate without damaging underground infrastructure such as water pipes and gas lines. "This is much more cost effective for municipalities and corporations," Takacsy said, noting that Badger has been growing earnings and revenue between 20% and 30% for many years. "They do business with the oil and gas sector, but they're involved in long-term projects, and most of Badger's growth is in the U.S. and nonenergy related."


Read more at https://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard/t.bad/badger-daylighting-ltd#Gy1LFWUKhLvhJdzy.99
Comment by MagicBeans on Jan 26, 2015 11:40am
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Comment by MagicBeans on Jan 26, 2015 12:01pm
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Comment by PAGODA5 on Jan 26, 2015 4:36pm
You bring up a valid point.  I have though the same thing.  The airlines are going to crater when oil goes back up because the expectations will be impossible to beat.   I don't think the carnage in oil is doen yet but you are correct in your thinking.  Taking advantage of market irrationality can be a very profitable way to maneuver  
Comment by MagicBeans on Jan 26, 2015 5:05pm
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Comment by PAGODA5 on Jan 27, 2015 11:15am
It gets harder every day to know where the opportunity exists.  I see some tremendous value in the oil sector but it is hard to know when the carnage will end.  I am looking more and more at agriculture related stocks as the best play right now.   Lonestar is still busy.  There trucks running out of Moose Jaw are always going.  Investors have sold this off based on the ...more  
Comment by MagicBeans on Jan 27, 2015 2:28pm
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Comment by PAGODA5 on Jan 29, 2015 2:34pm
Not sure I am willing to buy any junior player at the moment.  SGY seems like a good buy but if oil goes lower, it could get caught in the downdraft.  
Comment by PAGODA5 on Jan 29, 2015 4:37pm
I am in the red as well but I am adding down here when I can.  Again, there is no volume to these sales....just chumps selling their 200 shares at the absolute bottom.   
Comment by MagicBeans on Jan 29, 2015 7:54pm
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Comment by PAGODA5 on Jan 29, 2015 10:46pm
I know the business like the back of my hand, I know they are more than oil service company but I also know this oil glut is goin to end, and it will end sooner than people figure.  Once this jumps, watch it run!  
Comment by MagicBeans on Jan 30, 2015 12:09am
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Comment by PAGODA5 on Jan 30, 2015 4:07pm
I grabbed some at $1.75. Wasn't much for sale however.
Comment by MagicBeans on Jan 30, 2015 5:14pm
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Comment by PAGODA5 on Feb 02, 2015 10:58am
I don't see much better value out there then Lonestar's stock at the moment.  At under $2, you are buying this business at below break-up value.  You give this 8-12 months, with an oil recovery to say $75, which I believe is coming,this stock should be at least $3.50-$3.75.  Near a double  any way you cut it.    I also know their trucks are becoming more and ...more