Post by
nozzpack on Jan 07, 2025 7:29am
Estimated Impairment Losses of NFG Shareholders
I use Pali holdings of NFG shares and impairment losses for 2021 to Sept 31 2024.
Total equity impairment losses during the period amounted to $188 million cad.
PALI owned 48 million NFG shares during this period which computes to an average equity loss per share of about $3.80 per share .
There were further impairment losses in Q4 when the NFG share price hit all time lows giving latitude to elevate PALI NFG equity losses to about $200 million cad since 2021.
Rounded off, an equity loss of about $4 per NFG share .
The average number of NFG shares during this period was roughly 165 million.
That is, CK et al management decisions during this period resulted in the destruction of about $650 million in shareholder equity value of NFG.
Based on the current NFG price, an average equity loss of $4 per share implies an average shareholder cost base of about $6.75 per share during this period .
That would also be the Breakeven price for historical shareholders who remained long.
I don't know how this equates to your historical cost base but feedback might infer confidence to this
indirect estimate .
AIMHO
GKTA