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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Surge Battery Metals Inc. V.NILI

Alternate Symbol(s):  NILIF

Surge Battery Metals Inc. is a Canadian-based company. The Company’s Nevada North Lithium Project flagship property is dedicated to exploring clean high-grade lithium energy metals in Nevada USA - essential for powering tomorrow's electric vehicles. The Company’s management team boasts a strong track record of delivering significant shareholder value. The Company is led by a board and... see more

TSXV:NILI - Post Discussion

Surge Battery Metals Inc. > Evolution Mining to BUYOUT NILI (Q4-2024/Q1-2025)
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Post by deepoil0808 on Oct 01, 2024 1:49pm

Evolution Mining to BUYOUT NILI (Q4-2024/Q1-2025)

I am of the opinion that Evolution Mining will proceed with a BUYOUT of NILI 

REASON:    PEA was pushed out to Q1-2025
                    Evolution Mining mentionned in mega press release MRE


If you play poker, you know that body language is very important and sometimes more than the cards itself which you hold in your hands.   You look for a smile, a wink, an eye movement, anything to be able to discern if the player has strong or weak hands.

The same applies to a corporation.    Two powerful hints were dropped by the corporate body language:

- one is that Evolution Mining is named, which means they wanted to be identified as owners of 75% of the land, drawing a line in the sand that this property is theirs.    It also shows some fear from Evolution Mining knowing what is on the property, wanting to prevent anyone else from having it.  It is like a dog that marks it territory.

- secondly, management has proven that they deliver on their timelines.  They pushed very hard to get the drilling done by August, the MRE to be done by end of September  BECAUSE they wanted the PEA to be out by November or December 2024.    Low and behold, corporate body language speaks and now PEA is pushed out to Q1-2025 with no explaination.   All of of sudden NILI seems to be changing strategy from rushing the property to taking a little more time.   The question is why?  What changed?   What is it's motivation for this?    Corporate Body language would suggest that Evolution Mining has officially signed a non-disclosure agreement with NILI and we are now in a BLACKOUT PERIOD.    I have seen this before and it only means one thing:  BUYOUT.


In Q4-2024 or, early 2025 in Q1, I expect a HALT and then news announcing the BUYOUT.

BUYOUT will be done at FMV of what it costs to buy out companies with lithium in the ground.   Prices of $ 100 to $ 150 USD per ton LCE.

Good Luck, 
Comment by eng41 on Oct 01, 2024 3:30pm
A buyout would not be good in this suppressed market. No matter who the buyer
Comment by deepoil0808 on Oct 01, 2024 3:38pm
Stock price is IRRELEVANT in buyout discussions. Evolution Mining will determine the amount of recoverable LCE in the ground and then apply a multiple of between $ 100 USD per ton LCE and $ 150 per ton LCE. Decisions to buy are not made on what lithium prices are today but rather where they are going to be over the next 40 years.   If they estimate that lithium prices will hover around ...more  
Comment by eng41 on Oct 01, 2024 4:33pm
No one would give a premium like that to a 60 million dollar company  That is how it works. I would love you to be right. I have lots of shares. Would be great  Not likely to happen at this point
Comment by deepoil0808 on Oct 01, 2024 5:28pm
No.   It does not work that way.  Share price is IRRELEVANT. Management has a fidicuary responsability to its shareholders.   The line is drawn at $ 1.6 billion regardless of stock price based on asset value and not stock price.    Management cannot justify a sale at a price lower than this.  If they did, then lawsuits from shareholders.  Independent ...more  
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