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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Nickel 28 Capital Corp V.NKL

Alternate Symbol(s):  CONXF

Nickel 28 Capital Corp. is a Canada-based nickel-cobalt producer through its 8.56% joint-venture interest in the Ramu Nickel-Cobalt Operation located in Papua New Guinea. In addition, the Company manages a portfolio of nickel and cobalt royalties on projects in Canada, Australia and Papua New Guinea, including a 1.75% net smelter return (NSR) royalty in the Dumont nickel project in Quebec and a... see more

TSXV:NKL - Post Discussion

Nickel 28 Capital Corp > Full repayment of CAPEX Debt likely by Q1 2024
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Post by urai58 on Jun 01, 2022 2:27am

Full repayment of CAPEX Debt likely by Q1 2024

Let's do a small virtual calculation regarding potential full repayment of the CAPEX Debt with the following parameters (Q1 2022 basis, performance data rounded up, CC rounded up):
 
- Billing per semester (1.1./1.7.)
- $76.5m Debt
- 5.05% interest p.a.
- 32kt nickel production
- $12/lb nickel price
- $2/lb Ni Cash Costs
 
This results in a debt repayment potential of USD 19.5m per semester
(16kt x 2205 x 10 x 8.56% x 65%)
 
Each including interest minus 19.5m USD
As of 1.7. 2022: 59m
As of 1/1/2023: 41m
As of July 1st, 2023: 22.5m
As of 1/1/2024: 3.5m
 
CAPEX Debt fully repaid as of February 2024.
 
Then there are the following substantial changes regarding the allocation of FCF in favor of Nickel 28:
- Share of Ramu increases from 8.56% to 11.3
- Proportion of FCF increases from 35% to 100%.
- Billing monthly
 
urai58
Comment by Talchior on Jun 01, 2022 3:57am
Thanks for the exercise. I think you have forgotten the cobalt part : 3,2 t production by year of. Cobalt $30/lb cobalt (current price is higher) 2$/lb cost (1,6t * 2205 * 28 * 8,56% * 65%) = 5,5 Mo by semester As of 1.7. 2022: 53,5m As of 1/1/2023: 30m As of July 1st, 2023: 6m CAPEX Debt fully repaid as of October 2023 (if we consider quarterly income).
Comment by urai58 on Jun 01, 2022 4:18am
Thanks for your feedback @Talchior. No, I didn't "forget" cobalt. Ramu Cash costs are shown net of by-product (Cobalt). This means that the revenue from the cobalt is deducted from the cash cost of nickel (primary product) according to extract NR of May 9, 2022 : Actual cash cost, net of by-product credits of $1.48/lb. of nickel produced as MHP, a cost reduction of 12% from Q1 ...more  
Comment by Talchior on Jun 01, 2022 4:39am
my apologize! Thanks for the clarification, I totally missed this point from the beginning! I fear that not being fluent in English is not always helping to understand the full detail.
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