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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum CGX Energy Inc V.OYL

Alternate Symbol(s):  CGXEF

CGX Energy Inc. is a Canada-based oil and gas exploration company. It is focused on the exploration of oil in the Guyana-Suriname Basin and the development of a deep-water port in Berbice, Guyana. The Company, through one of its subsidiaries, holds an interest in a Petroleum Prospecting Licence (PPL) and related Petroleum Agreement (PA) on the Corentyne block in the Guyana Basin, offshore... see more

TSXV:OYL - Post Discussion

CGX Energy Inc > Frontera Ownership of CGX & how the Stole 20% WI!
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Post by westcanpride on Jul 25, 2022 2:40pm

Frontera Ownership of CGX & how the Stole 20% WI!

Let's take a look at how Frontera has come to own such a large ownership of CGX.

Couple notes:
- The numbers below are based on online press releases for major acquisitions.
- I also took the liberty of converting the shares acquired by Pacific (now Frontera) from 2011-2013 to today's converted 10:1 split (as per May 2013).
- The final share count below only differs about 4 million (non-diluted) from the latest press release, meaning some shares likely got purchased in minor amounts and never publically disclosed (likely exercised warrants). 

Shares            Paid                   Date                 Price Paid (CAD)
5,870,000        $41,104,000      Oct 29, 2011     $7.00
8,571,000        $30,000,000      May 28, 2012   $3.50
35,000,000      $35,000,000      April 26, 2013   $1.00
5,714,285        $1,571,428        Dec 17, 2018    $0.275
12,181,000      $60,905             Mar 13, 2019    $0.005
101,316,916    $25,319,229      Mar 14, 2019    $0.25
40,000,000      $11,600,000      Sept 25, 2019   $0.29
45,083,314      $73,596,618      Nov 1, 2021      $1.63

253,673,515    $218,252,180                             $0.86 (rough break-even)


Couple Notes
1) Clearly, CGX's old management team from 2011-13 derived far greater value from Pacific for shares in the company... the current management team and BOD is truly a bunch of useless stiffs. Like hell, Frontera since 2018 has only paid ~$112 MM CAD for over 204 million CGX shares. Yes, I know CGX was very distressed before Frontera showed up... but the fact CGX has literally given them the entire company for literal pennies on the dollar is pretty pathetic... especially in light of the Guyana/Suriname success in the Golden Lane over the past couple years.

2) Its clear Frontera could care less about maximizing CGX share price value. Other than in Nov 2021, Frontera has paid very little for CGX shares and has literally acted like a loan shark. For Nov 2019 shares, Frontera literally had to pay more money just cause Kawa-1 was actively being drilled and it was near impossible to low ball a price below $1. But even then, share price was over $2 before they made the loan at $1.63. 

3) At this point, Frontera owns close to 80% of CGX and their value (going back to 2011) has not increased very much (at least in terms of break-even). 

4) Based on what I can see above, I think the entire goal of De Alba/Frontera all these years was to increase their share count in CGX at the lowest price possible so that they could keep ultimately increase their Working Interest in Corentyne (since they could in essence veto any third party deal that actually would have benefited CGX).

5) The deal on Friday was the culmination of years of work and they in essence played CGX (and us shareholders) for a bunch of losers. Why do I say this... CGX gave Frontera 29.73% WI for a max total of ~$74MM CAD (36.27% total cost of the Wei-1 well plus $29MM USD payback of previous costs incurred). Now lets compare this with the additional 4.94% WI Frontera obtained for previous loan conversions.

Shares            Paid                   Date                 Price Paid (CAD)
26,685,393      $23,500,000       Mar 28, 2021    $0.88 (converted to WI)
14,460,000      $44,800,000       Mar 10, 2022    $3.10 (converted to WI)
* The two loans, combined with the 3.8MM USD cash loan, amounts to ~$73MM CAD or roughly $1.66 CAD per share. For this amount, Frontera only recieved 4.94% WI. As seen above, this total outstanding loan amount is almost identical to the same conversion rate of $1.63 for the Nov 1, 2021 loan to fund Kawa-1! 

Furthermore, as you can see above, Frontera got 29.73% WI for ~$74M CAD (to fund operations). Based on the two previous loans, at max, CGX should have only given Frontera close to 5% WI to fund Wei-1, not literally an additional 24% for pretty much nothing. Talk about absolutely horrific asset management and I have no idea how something like this can pass the regulators.

6) De Alba/Frontera truly did steal Corentyne for pennies. No wonder the share price has plummted since early March (poor press releases) and again from $1.50 from early June. De Alba put into attack of steal of CGX WI and used price manipulation (in conjunction with usless management) to make it happen. Hell, even using a conversion of close to $1CAD for shares (using the previous loans as an example) should have only see like maximum 10% WI transferred, not close to 30%. 

7) At this point, it would not shock me to see Frontera buy-out the remaining ~20% shares at say $1.3-$1.4 CAD. Obviously, it wouldn't make that much of a value increase to Frontera on a big picture basis. Instead, I think the ultimate goal would then be to farm down their 100% Working Interest in Corentyne in the future for far greater value than anything they have ever given to CGX. Given how useless CGX is at deriving value, I could see them making such a bad deal as well... even with Wei-1 hitting pay dirt. Look at how useless they have been with Kawa-1
Comment by SportyJ on Jul 25, 2022 3:17pm
WCP, my friend, what happened between Friday when you hailed the deal to Monday when you want to burn it all down and fire everybody (my words)???? I've been here long enough to have warned anybody that would listen what was most likely going to happen. DeAlba/Fec was gonna Pac Man Cgx. They might even do it again after Wei, I dunno. But if I could, Fec has been the ONLY one writing checks ...more  
Comment by westcanpride on Jul 25, 2022 3:33pm
Its a fair point SportyJ. I suppose as I look at the actual numbers more objectively, its clear we got screwed over badly. 20% WI given away for literally nothing is bullsh*t.  I am happy Wei-1 gets drilled and financial ucertainty regarding funding is eliminated... 100% and I suppose that was my happinness on Friday with the deal. But if I look at how the Kawa-1 well results were used by ...more  
Comment by SportyJ on Jul 25, 2022 3:52pm
WCP, my friend, you have very valid points. No question. Why do we have a cgx exec/board? They are redundant and FEC could handle those duties easily. No, there is something going on with regulatory either in Canada or Guyana or both that is keeping Cgx "alive". Maybe it's the 80% threshold, I'm just not sure. I can easily get upset with the announced deal, but I believe in the ...more  
Comment by Miftee9 on Jul 25, 2022 10:27pm
WCP, I am not defending management (I think they have breached their fiduciary duty to Shareholders and are extremely incompetent) or how this went down and I too am disappointed to where we are. You make some valid points.   However, I understand that beggers cannot be choosers.  As a result, when you are desperate you do things you are forced to do and usually it does not turn out ...more  
Comment by soulfire on Jul 26, 2022 8:03am
Good post Miftee. Like you said we could have all sold in the $3 - $4 dollar range. Personally, I thought we would for sure get a JV after KAWA1, like say a Total for instance. Frontera played their cards correctly in their best interest, can't blame them. I'm here also for the home run, and yes, I do regret not selling at least half of my holdings. That being said, I think the market may ...more  
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