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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum CGX Energy Inc V.OYL

Alternate Symbol(s):  CGXEF

CGX Energy Inc. is a Canada-based oil and gas exploration company. It is focused on the exploration of oil in the Guyana-Suriname Basin and the development of a deep-water port in Berbice, Guyana. The Company, through one of its subsidiaries, holds an interest in a Petroleum Prospecting Licence (PPL) and related Petroleum Agreement (PA) on the Corentyne block in the Guyana Basin, offshore... see more

TSXV:OYL - Post Discussion

CGX Energy Inc > ~$320MM USD
View:
Post by westcanpride on May 05, 2023 1:00pm

~$320MM USD

That is what Kawa-1 and Wei-1 will likely end up costing to drill. Truly a hell of a lot of money. I doubt either company will be around to see well #3 drilled (least not in the current state we have). This is a big boy game and both companies have shown to be amateurs at this game. Original Kawa estimates were $80MM and Wei were $93MM (so $173MM total). So be to almost $150MM off is truly astonishing and can't fight facts here. For everyone's sake, I just hope they don't screw up the most important 1000ft upcoming. My money, like everyone's else, is definitely riding on it. 

For Frontera, they have in essence paid for the entire thing to date (either directly or through purchasing more CGX shares/Working Interest in Corentyne). 

Rumors abound that Frontera is for sale (either in whole or certain segments). However sliced, Frontera management has truly pinned their companies fortunes (and ability to hold power in JV/asset sale) on the next 1000ft of drilling in Wei-1 and using this result to create value for the company. 

For Frontera shareholders, this aforementioned $300MM USD definitely could have been used for dividends, share buybacks, increased production across current portfolio, acquisitions of actual current production in other basins globally. Many people wonder why their share price is so low... I'm personally not shocked. Columbia is a horrible place to be and big chunks of free cash flow have been pushed to a very risky offshore play with no guarantee of return. 

On one hand, I can definitely admire their "guts" for taking a chance in Guyana. On other hand, it definitely hasn't paid off (least not yet) and they are in true gamble mode now. Either way, all these games played will be coming to an end soon. They can run but they can't hide and all investors alike we will to see the end game soon enough here. 

I'm sure everyone will be on pins and needles watching the rig gamma ray/resistivity and associated chip cuttings in the coming weeks!

Comment by SheDrills on May 05, 2023 1:07pm
You should learn about "cost recovery" they will be able get these investments back thru a "cost oil" mechanism in the PSA once a discovery is online. Honestly, if you don't understand these things you should move along rather than ranting and raving like a child.
Comment by soulfire on May 05, 2023 1:14pm
Well said shedrills. WCP just cannot help himself. The truest definition of a pessimist.  GLTA
Comment by westcanpride on May 05, 2023 1:38pm
Imagine being the loser who can comment in mere minutes to posts they disagree with on the different message boards. You folks work for a living or are you wasting your precious retirement years on these Internet forums? 
Comment by soulfire on May 05, 2023 1:46pm
Says the guy who made 3 posts in 50 minutes lol. Just be happy for once WCP. It will do you some good.
Comment by westcanpride on May 05, 2023 1:51pm
Hahaha touch!  I can guarantee we probably care more about this company than management cares about us shareholders who post on this board. Probably a good opportunity to check out and do something else as you say and be happy.  cheers. 
Comment by westcanpride on May 05, 2023 1:16pm
If this was a major oil conpany, they could wait for this cost recovery. But we both know offshore does not come online as quick as onshore. Hell, Apache/Suriname are still working towards a FID... and this don't include production wells which will take years to drill. Suriname will be lucky to see first oil by 2030!  When your two junior companies, it's not like the have time and ...more  
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