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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum CGX Energy Inc V.OYL

Alternate Symbol(s):  CGXEF

CGX Energy Inc. is a Canada-based oil and gas exploration company. It is focused on the exploration of oil in the Guyana-Suriname Basin and the development of a deep-water port in Berbice, Guyana. The Company, through one of its subsidiaries, holds an interest in a Petroleum Prospecting Licence (PPL) and related Petroleum Agreement (PA) on the Corentyne block in the Guyana Basin, offshore... see more

TSXV:OYL - Post Discussion

CGX Energy Inc > Continue to hope!
View:
Post by westcanpride on Aug 22, 2023 6:28pm

Continue to hope!

According to the Journal of Petroleum Technology, 2022 was considered a fantastic year of conventional exploration due to discoveries in areas like Guyana, Namibia and Brazil. The average discovery, they noted in 2022, was 150 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE).

In the Wei-1 Santonian, they encountered 210 ft of pay. Assuming a low side of 3000 acres for size, 15% porosity (Kawa and industry offsets), 70% oil saturation (lab results God willing/Santonian offset in Kawa) and Bo of 1.2, a basic volume of 427 million barrels was discovered. This also does not include uphole volumes discovered. 

Provided lab results suggest oil in the Santonian, this JV will have hit a fantastic discovery that would certainly be on the high side of volumes encountered over the past couple years globally. 

Saying this, I just hope and pray (a real investment strategy I know) management finds it within their moral fibers to finally do something positive for once that does not erode shareholder value any further. The geology blessed these guys within a some pretty fantastic discoveries. I just hope it's not flushed down the toilet no more due to management incompetence. Until then, I continue to hope and pray.

Comment by waitingstill on Aug 22, 2023 10:39pm
Thanks for the caculations wcp. Well done! Can you do something similar for Camp zone? Even though not as thick, areal extent is massive as mentioned by OIL_RUN although you probably don't have enough info.
Comment by westcanpride on Aug 23, 2023 12:06am
Hi waitingstill,  It was never announced the amount of actual pay thicknesses specifically to the Campanian vs Maastrichtian. Just an aggregate 77ft total.  As a result, makes it super difficult to do specific high-level calculations.  Based on the presentation (https://cgxenergy.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/CGX-Energy-Inc_Corporate-Presentation-31Mar2023.pdf) slide 14, the ...more  
Comment by waitingstill on Aug 23, 2023 1:20am
Thanks for putting in the effort WCP. Much appreciated! Let's see what the next week brings as AGM only about a week away. Hopefully something good will start to happen soon.
Comment by soulfire on Aug 23, 2023 8:49am
Thanks WCP. I believe if permeability is good the 77ft ans 210 ft in Santonian could go up, am I correct in saying this WCP?
Comment by westcanpride on Aug 23, 2023 9:09am
Unfortunately permeability has no impact on net pay. The shale plays today have net pay thicknesses in excess of 500ft in some instances (eg, Montney Fm) but permeability in the nanodarcy range.  A higher permeability no doubt makes the sandstones more likely to flow easier and require less intervention. But given todays technology, companies can make any conventional sandstone work ...more  
Comment by soulfire on Aug 23, 2023 9:13am
Much appreciated WCP
Comment by westcanpride on Aug 23, 2023 9:15am
Sorry soulfire. I was thinking Oil in place in my previous comment.  Yes, net pay could definitely have a permeability cut-off. But to date, management has never actually told us (that I know of) what cut-offs they are using for net pay. In the case of offshore Guyana, I would have to imagine unless it's something other than shale, all sandstones would be included in a net pay scenario ...more  
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