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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Premier Health of America Inc V.PHA

Premier Health of America Inc. is a Canadian healthtech company. The Company provides a comprehensive range of outsourced service solutions for healthcare needs to governments, corporations, and individuals. The Company uses its proprietary LiPHe platform to lead the healthcare services sector in digital transformation to provide patients with more accessible care services. The Company operates... see more

TSXV:PHA - Post Discussion

Premier Health of America Inc > Thoughts on Q2 2022 Results?
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Post by colourama on May 18, 2022 11:11pm

Thoughts on Q2 2022 Results?

On the surface this looks like a soft quarter, but if you dig into the financial statements, I don't think the overall summary results tell the whole story.

For EBITDA: Their Q2 EBITDA was $0.5 million. However, they had some non-recurring expenses:
  • $0.3 million for the implementation  of a new ERP system and computer expenses
  • $0.3 million for transaction costs related to their acquisition
  • $0.1 million for training costs

If you add that back, you get approximately $1.2 million. Some possibly recurring expenses in the quarter were
  • $0.2 million for salary increases
  • $0.1 million for maintenance of non-ambulatory transport vehicles

Finally, $0.3 million was due to the fluctuation (decrease) of revenue, which seems to be temporary but unpredictable at this point in the transition period of the pandemic.

So in all, the EBITDA number is comparable to the previous Q1 2022 number.

I am not financially savvy enough to break out the exact numbers for the net loss, but these expenses of course would have made their way to the bottom line.

Regarding the lower revenue at Premier Soin, it is good news that the issues seem to be resolved in April, but something which is likely to fluctuate while things adjust post-pandemic.

Some good news:
  • They have now $6.3 million in cash, an increase of $1.9 million from the previous quarter.
  • They still generated $1.7 million of cash from operating activities this quarter.
  • With the new acquisition, they now derive 27% of revenue from Federal Government sources, and 26% outside Quebec.
  • There is organic growth in the Nordik division, signing contracts with 6 additional hospitals.
  • The Solutions Nursing extended role training program seems to be in high demand.
  • Solutions Nursing is negotiating a framework agreement with a Northern Territory sometime in the next two quarters.
  • They are exploring tuck-in acquisitions of smaller staffing agencies in Ontario with the completion of their recent acquisition.
My takeaway is that things still seem to be progressing okay. This quarter had the expense, but not the benefit, of the transformational acquisition, adding about $6 million/quarter in revenue and around $0.7-0.8 million EBITDA /quarter, although the next quarter won't include an entire 3 months of the acquisition yet.

Still, I expect more dumping into $0.50 or $0.40 as investors won't be patient in the current market. I will continue to hold as the investment thesis needs more time to play out.

Does anyone else have any thoughts? I don't know if I have added any useful commentary. Please correct me if I have made any mistakes.
Comment by prophetoffact on May 19, 2022 9:35am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Torontojay on May 19, 2022 10:25am
Nice write up Colourama.  The latest acquisition is going to be a cash cow that it will help offset these growth expenditures which are necessary for the future of the company.  A great coffee can stock addition to a portfolio. 
Comment by colourama on May 19, 2022 4:34pm
So far in the first half of FY 2022, PHA has generated about $3.1 million in free cash flow (correct me if I am wrong). I assume that doubling this for a full year projection is reasonable and hopefully somewhat conservative. We arrive at $6.2 million for the existing business. I have no info on the acquisition's free cash flow, but $1 million seems conservative given the other provided ...more  
Comment by Torontojay on May 19, 2022 5:59pm
I think it's very likely we will see the share price below 50 cents. I don't mind as long as their free cash keeps growing and I will pick my spots for share purchases.  I was pleased with the results and I don't see any major issues here.     
Comment by Stonksonlyup90 on May 19, 2022 6:12pm
At $0.50 a share the majority of the options would be out of the money. $0.50/share would imply an EV of what $34M? At a $7M annual free cash flow we'd be trading at a 20% FcF yield!  I'm continuing to nibble away and add to my position but will be loading the boat if this goes sub-$0.50s
Comment by colourama on May 20, 2022 10:33am
Well, we seem to have arrived at $0.50 in no time at all. Not sure when the selling will be finished but I'll be picking away. Time will tell if the buyer (me) or the seller will be on the right side of the price action.
Comment by Torontojay on May 20, 2022 10:43am
I just picked up 10k shares at 50 cents.  I have another $5k waiting if it reaches 45 cents. 
Comment by colourama on May 20, 2022 10:55am
It looks like someone with Credential Securities is the big seller at 50 cents - 50k shares so far (and looks like another 50k on the ask).
Comment by Torontojay on May 20, 2022 11:10am
  I picked up another 10k shares at 50 cents :) I just couldn't resist.  Thanks for letting me know about the other 50k shares on the ask.   
Comment by colourama on May 20, 2022 12:43pm
I picked up some more as well, but it's scary times to be investing. The past year has turned small caps (particularly tech and healthcare) into a graveyard - some (or many) will never recover. I do not believe this to be the case for PHA but certainly it has been tough to see and one has to be very careful with the companies they choose to invest in.
Comment by Torontojay on May 20, 2022 3:48pm
My concern is mostly macro related. I think the possibility of a recession over the next 2 years is possible as higher interest rates will kill the demand side while the supply issue may never get resolved easily.  Im not so worried about the company's debt situation as their cash flow can weather the storm if a recession happens.  Now we have the s&p 500 in an official bear ...more  
Comment by colourama on May 20, 2022 4:07pm
Torontojay, I agree the macro situation is not so good. The question is how much of PHA's business is sensitive to the macro situation? Nurses will be needed regardless of the overall market environment. I don't think their debt is particularly sensitive to rising interest rates. The non-ambulatory transport services is a thorn in their side, but is only a relatively small contributor to ...more  
Comment by Torontojay on May 21, 2022 7:49am
The biggest bear argument would probably be how strong is their competitive advantage with their psweb platform. My concern may be that a competitor may be able to easily replicate this technology and offer the same services. Although since the share price trades closer to book value I'm not as worried as an investor is not paying that much per share relative to their book costs.  ...more  
Comment by colourama on May 23, 2022 6:27pm
That's definitely a good point to consider. Recently if I am not mistaken, they completed a technological roadmap so I assume that they have a good sense of their platform versus a competitor. It may be that other agencies are too small to have the resources to properly development this technology, or too large that implementation after development would be challenging and/or costly. But this ...more