Post by
Justforfun10 on Jun 01, 2023 1:10pm
Adherence Rate Enigma
The company has stated numerous times in the past they would achieve 100,000 on-boarded patients by the end of 2022. They have recently stated adherence rates of 68%. If we assume that is across the board and not a small sample size and not factoring in any lag time then we would expect roughly $13 million in SaaS revenues. They reported $1.8 million in SaaS revenues well short of $13 million. It would seem that either the number of on-boarded patients is well below 100,000 or the adherence rate is over stated or there is a huge lag from onboard to adherence or there is a problem with collections. Which it is I don't know or a combination of the above. It seems to me that the requirement of 16 readings per month is not widely attainable for Medicare coverage. If true what is the solution? The company has stated going forward they will assume direct control of adherence. The next financials will tell the story. I suggest the company send warnings to non compliant or non adherent patients they will be locked out of the software. Refund them for hardware and use the devices for new patients. I will hold my shares for the next financials but I expect to see total revenues of at least $8 million and other hard numbers such as the current number of on-boarded patients, ongoing adherence rates of all patients and ongoing collections to name a few.
Comment by
Mitch43 on Jun 01, 2023 1:55pm
Good post and argumentation.
Comment by
Justforfun10 on Jun 01, 2023 3:11pm
I will fact check and reply
Comment by
Lifeboat1 on Jun 01, 2023 5:19pm
First the Company did not plead no contest. The case was settled and insurance and prior employees paid the bulk of the settlement. It was never even certified as a class action suit. I gave you the patient numbers and adherence numbers from the Company and they actually line up nicely with the revenue for the last two quarters.