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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum RESERVOIR MINERALS INC V.RMC

"Reservoir Minerals Inc is engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral properties in Serbia, Cameroon, Gabon, Macedonia and Romania."

TSXV:RMC - Post Discussion

RESERVOIR MINERALS INC > Better days ahead for the junior sector.....
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Post by thorgb1 on Nov 05, 2014 9:14am

Better days ahead for the junior sector.....

PwC report, Reservoir mentioned about 2/3 of the way down the article as a Top 5 Junior company......


Better days await the junior sector, PwC reports

 

TEXT SIZE bigger text smaller text
2014-11-04

The worst of the current downturn may be over, PwC notes in its eighth annual Junior Mine report in late October. Looking at the top 100 TSXV-listed juniors by market capitalization, the 2014 report found that while the junior sector was continuing in survival mode that it was starting to see signs of recovery.

 

“The picture is brightening, somewhat: The market capitalization of the top 100 has increased by about 20% for the 12 months ended June 30, 2014, compared to a year earlier,” writes PwC global mining leader John Gravelle. The firms have a combined $7.9 billion market capitalization, up from $6.6 billion, a year ago.

 

The analysis shows since 2007, the top 100 accounted for more than half of the market capitalization for total mining companies, with the exception of 2008 where it tumbled to 29%. From 2007 to 2012, the total mining firms made up 57% of the total TSXV market capitalization. Last year, this percentage fell to 35% and slightly improved to 37% in 2014.   

 

The average market capitalization among the top 100 has increased to $79 million, up from $65 million in 2013. While a notable improvement, it is still below the averages seen in 2011 and 2012.

 

Of the top 100 companies, 56 are in the exploration phase, 23 in development and 21 in production, largely in line with previous years, with a slight increase in producers and a drop in developers this year.

 

Similar to prior years, the majority of these entities have their head office in British Columbia, followed by Ontario. They prefer to work in Canada and the Americas, with gold remaining the commodity of choice.

 

Looking at the financials for the top 100, PwC highlights the companies spent less on their operations in 2014 than in 2013, but also raised less money for the year ended June. Equity financings totaled $685 million, down from $795 million in 2013. Both years were below the $1.6 billion raised in 2012.

 

Total cash position also fell 20% year-over-year to $968 million on the back of fewer financings, with producers seeing the biggest decline in their cash balance. However, debt financing grew by $90 million this year to $379 million, adding stress on the sector with interest costs and covenants.

 

Total revenue plunged 21% to $690 million from $872 million in 2013, which already saw a 25% decline from the $1.2 billion generated in 2012.

 

“Volatile commodity prices are to blame for a drop in production and revenues, which also led to an increase in write-downs across the sector,” PwC says.

 

Write-downs jumped 167% to $233 million, up from $87 million in 2013. But, two-thirds of the total write-downs this year came from two companies, while half of the firms had no write-downs, and a quarter of them had write-downs of less than $1 million.

 

Of note, operating costs fell 26% in 2014 due to both lower production costs and general and administrative (G&A) costs. G&A decreased for all miners, expect for those in exploration phase, which saw flat expenses year-over-year.

 

Overall, the net loss for 2014 grew 19% year-over-year to $652 million.

 

“While the industry is still in doldrums, we are also confident that the market will soon turn. Long-term demand for metals and minerals will continue as the world’s population keeps growing,” Gravelle notes.

 

He expects the recovery will start with the major mining firms. “Once they begin to make meaningful investments in the industry, the mid-tier companies will benefit. It’s a case of tides lifting all boats.” 
 

 

Top five  

 

The top five firms for the year ended June 30, 2014, include Lumina Copper, which First Quantum Minerals (TSX: FM; US-OTC: FQVLF) acquired in August, Fission Uranium (TSXV: FCU; US-OTC: FCUUF), Bear Creek Mining (TSXV:BCM), Gold Reserve (TSX: GRZ; US-OTC: GDRZF) and Reservoir Minerals (TSXV: RMC; US-OTC: RVRLF).

 

Since 2009, the top five on average account for 23% of the market capitalization of the top 100 mining firms. This year, they make up 21%, up 3% from last year.

 

Listings and de-listings

 

PwC notes the number of initial public offerings in the junior mining space fell for the year ended June. Only two firms debuted on the Venture this year, compared to 24 in 2013.

 

Graduations to the TSX fell slightly to six, compared to seven in 2013. In 2012, 27 junior mining firms upgraded to the TSX.

 

The number of firms delisted from the TSXV in 2014 was 49, up from 31 in 2013. Of the 49 companies, 28 were involved in a merger or amalgamation, 20 requested to delist, and one failed to pay its listing fee.

 

“This isn’t the story of a multitude of de-listings that some anticipated, but does show that some companies have failed to keep the lights on,” PwC reports. It expects a similar number of de-listings in 2015.

 - See more at: https://www.northernminer.com/news/better-days-await-the-junior-sector-pwc-reports/1003333629/?&er=NA#sthash.2EUSsiBf.dpuf
Comment by rob926 on Nov 06, 2014 4:57pm
We are back to drilling and the stock falls to new lows for the last 12 months what gives? 
Comment by thorgb1 on Nov 07, 2014 6:47am
Perfect storm of a terrible resource market, tax loss season, and fund redemptions.
Comment by cd673 on Nov 07, 2014 8:43am
My guess is it will be months till we know if we have a new discovery which is our big hope. Otherwise Best case short term is an operating agreement or upward revision to the inferred resource size. Either of those would help set a floor. It is never easy to hold through a big sell off like we have had but I for one can't imagine much more downside. We have cash and time and the serbs no ...more  
Comment by thorgb1 on Nov 07, 2014 10:32am
Its an irrational market. The company is in better shape now than it was in March when it was trading at $7+. We have $42M in the bank, FCX has 5 drills going again at Timok, we are drilling our own 100% property with another 3 drills at Timok, we have had very promising new silver discoveries at Bobija and Parlozi, potentially moving to the main board sooner rather then later, and multiple ...more  
Comment by rob926 on Nov 07, 2014 11:30am
I agree this is one of the best mining stories out there. Goes to show in this kind of market people will throw the baby out with the bathwater. I thought we hit the low back in September and bought a bunch more shares@ $4. Who would have guessed the stock would make a new low after Freeport resumes drilling. I feel like I'm in a bad dream and somebody needs to wake me up.
Comment by knotshure on Nov 08, 2014 9:34am
This bad dream may well not be over .  As everyone knows Freeport owns 75% of Reservoirs only asset . All be it pending a BFS , but that will be laid in RMC"S lap at the last moment . RMC is at the mercy of Freeport  and that is the issue here . You must also agree that RMC management all have very deep pockets today compliments of FMC"S JV agreement . Yet not one RMC exec is ...more  
Comment by rob926 on Nov 08, 2014 10:25am
I doubt you will see insiders buy when the bulk of their wealth is probably Reservoir stock and options. What I have seen is they have bought more shares of Lara (LRA), took a big chunk of the Reservoir Capital offering and another big chunk of the 2nd Reservoir capital offering closing soon. They did just receive a nice slug of options at $4.12 so that tells me that they thought that was close to ...more  
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